Risk areas
9.22. Consumers have an apparently limitless
appetite for new energy-using products. We are not in a position
to predict what new products will emerge in the coming years,
but have considered two sectors where there has already been considerable
expansion, which is likely to continue, and which present a significant
risk to the Government's attempts to reduce energy use.
9.23. The first of these sectors, which has already
been mentioned, is information and communications technology.
At our seminar it was asserted by Professor Brenda Boardman, of
the Environmental Change Institute, that the expansion of this
sector could swallow up all efficiency gains in other sectors.
While it is difficult to put firm figures on such possibilities,
and Mr Fullam indeed claimed that "smart design" would
lead to a "steady reduction in power consumption", he
did also concede that consumer electronics were still an "immature
market" (QQ 442, 441).
9.24. The improved efficiency of individual products
is unquestionable: as Mr Fullam pointed out, a 19 inch colour
television in the late 1960s would consume "something like
525 watts"; an equivalent television today consumes around
60 watts. The problem is not that individual products have failed
to improve, but that new productstelevisions with larger
screens, wall-mounted televisions, flicker-free screens, plasma
screens, and so onhave emerged, creating a hugely expanded,
diverse market, in which the relative energy efficiency of products
is a negligible factor in customer choice.
9.25. One area of particular concern, which is
relatively well documented, is the proliferation of devices which,
when not in use, are left in standby mode. As Mr Meier pointed
out, power consumption for audio devices in standby mode can vary
between one and 25 watts. But, as he continued, "there is
no way for a consumer to know which uses 25 watts and which uses
one watt" (Q 405). While products bearing the Energy Star
label do provide such data, we have already commented on the limited
scope of this scheme. Nor are such data in themselves necessarily
enough: the consumer's ignorance is all too often compounded by
aspects of product design, such as the lack of a simple on/off
switch on the front of most personal computers. How many computer
users realise that unless they switch off the power supply at
the wall their PC will continue to consume electricity?
9.26. The effect of standby consumption, at a
national level, is breathtaking: in the United Kingdom television
sets alone consume some 90 million kWh per month in standby mode.[95]
This is approximately equivalent to the continuous output of a
small120 MWpower station. It translates into greenhouse
gas emissions approaching 150,000 tC/year. Moreover, these figures
apply only to televisions, and fail to take account of all the
other forms of equipmentaudio equipment, video or DVD players,
computers, photocopierswhich revert to standby mode when
not in use. The Government estimate that overall no less than
760 million kWh per month of electricity are consumed by appliances
not actually in usethe equivalent of 1 GW continuous output,
or some 2.25 percent of total United Kingdom electricity consumption,
producing of the order of 1.2 MtC per annum.[96]
9.27. The Government's approach to these problems
is to encourage manufacturers to reduce power consumption through
an EU-wide voluntary code of conduct, best practice guidelines
and targets. In addition, the Government's own procurement policies
require that departments should specify televisions with standby
power consumption of less than one watt. Such an approach appears
to overlook the possibility of using regulation to enforce improvements
in design and the provision of better information for consumers.
9.28. The fast-growing, diverse market for
consumer electronics presents a serious a risk of uncontrollable
rises in energy consumption. The Government's reliance on voluntary
codes and best practice guidelines, while it may deliver improvements
in certain areas, is a piecemeal and fundamentally inadequate
response to this threat. We therefore recommend that the Government
examine the feasibility of setting minimum standards for this
sector, as well as requiring better information for consumers,
for example on standby power consumption.
9.29. The second danger area we looked at was
the growing demand, particularly in the context of climate change,
for air conditioning. An extremely clear summary of the state
of the air conditioning market was provided by Mr Ray Gluckman,
of the Institute of Refrigeration: though demand for air conditioning
has grown significantly in the last 20 years, it remains an immature
market, with only around 10 percent of non-domestic floor space
air conditioned (around 15 percent for offices). Penetration into
the domestic market is minimal, at under one percent. It is estimated
that in the coming 20 years the non-domestic floor area that is
air-conditioned will triple (representing growth of around six
percent per annum); the domestic market will grow more quickly
in percentage terms, but from a much lower base, with the result
that in terms of carbon emissions its effect will be relatively
minor.[97] While the
efficiency of appliances is improving constantly, Mr Gluckman
accepted that "it does look inevitable that the market growth
will overtake the efficiency improvements" (QQ 440, 452).
9.30. Mr Gluckman's conclusions demonstrated
the industry's willingness to embrace regulation and mandatory
standardsperhaps a result of its long experience of such
regulation in the field of refrigeration. He described "a
great need for intervention", including minimum efficiency
standards by means of a "rating system" (at present,
domestic air conditioners carry an EU energy label, but those
used in commercial premises or offices do not). There also had
to be more detail in Building Regulations, to ensure that speculative
developers were "not allowed to put in inferior systems and
inferior controls". Perhaps most strikingly, he accepted
that there needed to be "some sort of market avoidance policy"
(QQ 446, 456, 453).
9.31. The projected trebling over the next
20 years of the floor area in commercial or office buildings that
is air conditioned has serious implications for future energy
consumption. We welcome the willingness of the air conditioning
industry to engage in discussion on minimum efficiency standards
and the development of Building Regulations, and recommend that
the Government address these issues as a matter of urgency.
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