Memorandum by Professor John Bell
1. What current projects involve collecting genetic
information on people in the UK?
There are a vast number of projects ongoing
in academic and commercial laboratories which involve the collation
of genetic data on people in the UK. Most of these studies are
focused on identifying genes involved in particular diseases and
involve the collection of both patient populations and families
where an individual in the family suffers from a particular disease.
Individually these are relatively small and focused in their structure,
although some of them involve studying patient populations in
excess of 10,000 individuals. In all cases the DNA being tested
has come from people who have provided informed consent for the
project. Obviously these collections of DNA could provide the
material for broader DNA databases encompassing information about
genetic variation at a large number of loci around the genome.
This is unlikely to occur as these collections are in the hands
of hundreds, if not thousands, of different scientists, the quality
and quantity of DNA is variable and on the whole patients have
not been consented for such a broad approach to genetic characterisation.
In the future it is likely that large patient
cohorts will have DNA collected and be consented for the general
characterisation of DNA variants and their correlation with a
whole range of potential phenotypes. This will occur both in large
clinical trial populations and within prospective cohorts. I believe
that most of the major pharmaceutical companies are now collecting
DNA from patients undergoing large clinical trials. Academic laboratories
undertaking clinical trials also are more routinely collecting
DNA samples and there are a number of large projects that involve
the characterisation of hundreds of thousands of individuals in
the UK whose DNA could potentially be characterised and correlated
with diseases that they develop. The purpose of these studies
is to understand more accurately the relationship between genes
and environment but also to understand individual variations to
drug response. Funding for these activities comes from all sectors,
both the commercial sector and the public sector including the
Research Councils, the Wellcome Trust, the Cancer Charities, the
British Heart Foundation, the British Diabetes Association and
the Arthritis and Rheumatism Council.
2. The major practical considerations are
the efficient collection at a very large scale of hundreds of
thousands of samples and their characterisation by genotyping
in a systematic and efficient way. These are logistic issues seldom
confronted in the academic laboratory setting and require careful
and thorough consideration. If we are to understand the genetic
basis of common disease and in particular understand the relationship
between genes and the environment in producing these disorders
we will have to undertake such studies.
3. What is the genetic information that is
being collected?
The genetic information is on the whole DNA
polymorphism either in genes or in flanking regions. The variation
that exists is not necessarily predictive of disease onset for
several reasons. Firstly, the contribution of a single DNA variant
to disease susceptibility may be modest (relative risk of two
to three). In addition the DNA variant being studied may simply
be in linkage disequilibrium with the disease variant further
reducing the predictive value of such a test. On the whole the
genetic variation being characterised will contribute only to
a better understanding of risk of common disease rather than identifying
causative genes which are highly predictive.
The genetic material is normally stored with
coded patient information. Generally, however, patients can be
identified from these databases if necessary. The coding of patients
in most databases would make it difficult, however, for an individual
outside the study to readily correlate a genotype with a patient
name.
4. Most of the organisations involved have
been careful about obtaining full consent from patients for the
use of their DNA. On the whole patients are anxious to know the
cause of their disease even if it is only to help future generations
who might suffer and hence are willing to support such research
activities. Any single individual's DNA contributes virtually
nothing to an intellectual property base. Firm conclusions about
disease genes are the result of the very large numbers of samples
being analysed and the characterisation of populations with and
without disease. It would be difficult if not impossible to unpick
the contribution of any single individual to such a complex activity
as disease gene identification; as a result this issue has been
seldom raised.
5. The future
The ability to characterise large amounts of
genetic information efficiently and cheaply is likely to increase
dramatically over the next five to 10 years. Although the amount
of data being generated is likely to increase dramatically in
the end the utility of that data is totally dependent on the analysis
of the available information. One major threat is the premature
and statistically naive approach to identifying disease genes
with relatively small contributions to risk based on multiple
testing protocols that are not clearly replicated in several populations.
This has already substantially confused the genetic literature
with numerous false positives and there are serious risks that
this will endanger the reputation of the field over time.
6. The other major genetic database initiatives
which are identifying and following large cohorts of patients
over time include the Iceland Cohort and the Estonian Cohort.
The Iceland Cohort has problems in that it is severely under powered
from the nature of chronic diseases of adult life. The Estonian
population is larger but it is not clear to me how useful the
medical follow up data in the Estonian Health Service is likely
to be for the follow up of these patient cohorts. The Icelandic
model has been an entirely commercially driven activity and this
has created anxieties in the population and internationally about
the ownership of individuals' genetic information. Care must be
taken not to pursue this approach in the UK. The critical issue
for UK prospective databases should be the requirement to separate
genotype phenotype analysis from the names of the patients and
clearer patient identification. By having a firewall between these
two activities most patient anxiety should be allayed. Consent
also is critical and in order for these to be studied public confidence
that these studies are productive and informative needs to be
sustained. The benefits of genetics need to be delivered over
the next five years to ensure that such studies can be continued
with public confidence into the future.
John Bell MADM FRCP
Nuffield Professor of Clinical Medicine
University of Oxford
7 August 2000
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