Examination of Witnesses (Questions 160-170)
MR HECTOR
SANTS, MR
DAN WATERS
AND MS
LESLEY TITCOMB
15 DECEMBER 2008
Q160 Chairman: Why is it good enough
for you, but not good enough for IFAs, come on, get your ambitions
up.
Mr Waters: I would not wish to
compare myself to IFAs on that point.
Q161 Chairman: Okay. What about at
your level, Dan?
Mr Waters: As I say, I think we
have sympathy to the view that a higher level over time is probably
desirable.
Mr Sants: The point is well taken.
We are consulting and it is a good point.
Q162 Chairman: The RDR contains many
measures to address the supply side issues of retail investment,
but there are concerns about the demand side too. Hopefully the
RDR will lead to increased trust in the industry, and financial
capability may also play a role, but large numbers of young people
and low earners will continue to have little interest in taking
advice on investing for the future. There was mention made earlier
and in our report on restoring confidence in long-term savings
in 2005 we mentioned that the savings industry is a middle class
industry, we are not getting to everyone. What plans does the
FSA have, if any, to encourage the industry to better respond
to the needs of these groups?
Mr Sants: Of course, we have our
financial capability agenda, if that is where the question is
going, which is designed to be and is indeed a partnership with
industry as well as with all other relevant stakeholder groups
that can assist us in that endeavour. We have a programme there
of reaching out to, as you know, 10 million people or so by 2011.
We are 5.4 million into that, so just over halfway through, so
we are tracking in line with our expectations, and we do obviously
think that a successful retail marketplace requires more than
that which is within the RDR framework. For example, it does need
to include raising financial capability, financial awareness and
the capability of consumers to effectively engage with their saving
agenda. We recognise it needs to be a twin track strategy and
the financial capability agenda seeks to do that and, of course,
now we are complementing it with working with Government on the
pilot for what was previously called Thoresen Review of Generic
Financial Advice/Money Guidance.
Q163 Chairman: The vexed question
of bank lending. In recent evidence both the Governor and the
Treasury to this Committee highlighted the resumption of bank
lending as critical to the economy. The Governor also noted that
banks must act collectively in their best interest by lending
more rather than individually holding cash because that is what
the markets want them to do. Do you agree with that position?
Mr Sants: Broadly speaking, yes.
Of course, as a financial regulator we have an obligation also,
as you would expect, again referencing previous discussions here
about events of the last 18 months, to ensure that they hold the
appropriate level of capital which would realistically anticipate
any losses that they might expect to incur in the downturn. That
has been the purpose of the recent recapitalisation exercise.
Q164 Chairman: But the Governor also
told us that he thought, and I quote: "It was of the utmost
importance that the tripartite authorities make crystal clear
that regulatory minimum requirements have not been raised and
if anything in these circumstances might be lowered because banks
will need to see their capital used to absorb losses in order
to maintain lending". Now do you agree with his statement
and have you been making that clear to banks and the markets if
you do agree with that?
Mr Sants: Yes, we have made a
public announcement on the framework that we used over the weekend
of the bank recapitalisation exercise in which we made clear that
was not a policy shift for the long term, indeed, the policy shift
for the long-term would come with the requisite consultation and
cross-benefit analysis and so forth. We certainly have not changed
our long-term policy framework and, as I have just said, and as
the Governor's comments made clear, the purpose of the recapitalisation
was to create excess capital or capital above the regulatory minimum
which was there to absorb the expected losses. It obviously follows
that as the losses are incurred then the capital of the banks
will come down. That was the purpose of them having that capital
in the first place.
Q165 Chairman: That is a very important
point because I am going on from this meeting to speak in the
Queen's Speech economy debate and I am going to quote you saying
that you agree with the Governor on the issue of regulatory minimum
requirements. Am I going to be fair by quoting you?
Mr Sants: Yes. I might, if I may,
just expand a little bit further. The answer is yes but for the
purposes of adding to your background information for the benefit
of the comments you will be making, I think we do need to understand,
of course, that those capital ratios were designed on the basis
of a stress test done by the FSA which was a stress test against
the business plans which the banks submitted to us, their expectations
of the amount of risk weighted assets they would be deploying
over the medium term. We have done stress tests on those plans
and ensured that they have sufficient capital to absorb the expected
losses against that set of business plans. Obviously it follows
that if the banks decided they wished to conduct extra activity
which involved extra risk weighted assets over and above that
which was in the original business plans then we would have to
revisit those capital assumptions. So I absolutely agree, with
the Governor that those ratios will come down over time, they
are designed to absorb losses, the banks expect them to absorb
losses and they are not new capital rules. But if the banks change
their expected lending patterns then obviously we would have to
revisit their expected capital arrangement.
Q166 Chairman: You and the Bank have
got a close working relationship on that and both of you would
be aware and come to a common view on that issue?
Mr Sants: Absolutely. We share
the stress test models with the Bank.
Q167 Chairman: I can go ahead and
say it then?
Mr Sants: You can indeed.
Q168 Chairman: That is fine, okay.
Now when the Governor was here he made three points, lastly, Mr
Sants, on better monitoring, which you will agree with, on the
tripartite authorities making crystal clear their intentions,
which you have agreed with, and he did say lastly on recapitalisation,
"we may not have come to the end of this process". Do
you agree with him on that?
Mr Sants: I think that picks up
the point I have just made, in fact, namely that if the plans
were to change then the capital might have to change, so that
point needs to be borne in mind and, of course, we also need to
recognise that the real economy scenario is a set of forecasts
about the future, the outturn may not always follow the forecasts.
Q169 Chairman: I can take that as
a yes as well.
Mr Sants: You can take that as
a yes as well.
Q170 Chairman: Good. Can I thank
you very much for your attendance today, particularly the rearranged
session. Will you give our regards to Lord Turner when he is back
and maybe tell him he was not missed because you did very well,
but we do look forward to him coming again in February or March.
Thank you very much.
Mr Sants: I will pass that on
to him. Thank you, Chairman.
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