Memorandum submitted by Professor Richard
Knowles
THE PURPOSE
OF PASSENGER
RAIL FRANCHISING
The outcomes from rail passenger franchising
need to be measured against the objectives set by Government.
Potentially, rail privatisation offers the opportunity of providing
leaner, more efficient and market-based services which are both
more attractive to the customer and cost the taxpayer less in
government subsidy.
The objectives of passenger rail privatisation
have been to:
reduce the level of public subsidies
for rail passenger services;
produce consumer benefits by
attracting additional passengers through more attractive services
and ticket prices;
lever in sufficient private
sector investment in infrastructure and rolling stock, through
competition for franchises, to create a more reliable railway
with fewer capacity constraints; and
produce the conditions to deliver
the Government's 10 Year Transport Plan target of a 50% growth
in rail passenger traffic by 2010-11.
The four stated objectives of the SRA's November
2002 Franchising Policy were to:
deliver a safe, more reliable
service of consistently high quality for rail passengers;
provide clarity of service specification
so that industry partners work together for passengers;
deliver a value for money service
for passengers and taxpayers; and
secure accountable, viable operators
who are passionate about delivering for their customers.
(see Knowles, 1998 and 2004)
Are the franchise contracts the right size, type
and length?
Analysis of first round franchise commitments
demonstrates that franchise bidders are not prepared to invest
heavily in rolling stock and infrastructure without a franchise
period of at least 10 and preferably 15 years (Knowles, 1998).
A new template for a franchise agreement was
developed by March 2003 with industry partners including the Association
of Train Operating Companies. Second round franchises were cut
to a norm of a five to eight year period, with good performance
offering the prospect of an extended franchise. These short to
medium term franchises are not generating the significant levels
of private sector infrastructure investment in Britain's railways
envisaged in the government's 10 Year Transport Plan (Knowles,
2004). This was a contributory cause of the Government abandoning
its Ten Year Transport Plan target in July 2004 of a 50% growth
in rail passenger traffic by 2010-11.
At the time of the 10 Year Transport Plan, refranchising
of passenger rail services for 10 to 20 year terms was intended
to generate billions of pounds of private capital investment in
infrastructure, rolling stock and services, many times greater
than that achieved from first round franchises when 18 out of
25 franchises were let for shorter periods of up to seven years
six months. With the loss of private sector confidence following
the Hatfield derailment, Railtrack's demise and the unsustainable
Annual Financial Improvement requirements of may first round franchises,
most of the new franchises are for much shorter periods than 10
years, offer less investment in rolling stock, fewer service upgrades
and very little infrastructure investment.
The strategy of consolidating franchises operating
out of major termini to simplify journey planning and improve
services for passengers would be logical if applied to major provincial
cities like Leeds, Manchester and Sheffield and not just to London.
Do we need more competition and vertical integration?
Open access competition is only fair if there
is a level playing field in terms of track access charges for
the incumbent franchisee and the open access competitor. If the
open access competitor only pays marginal access costs they have
a substantial and unfair advantage against the incumbent franchisee.
This is compounded if track capacity constraints prevent the franchisee
from delivering its franchise service commitments because an open
access competitor has been allocated all the spare train slots.
Vertical integration, where the train operator
is also the track operator, could be advantageous when one train
operator operates all or most train services on a particular network.
There would be more incentive to prioritise investment and maintenance
in line with train operators' preferences. Vertical integration
would also incentivise a reduction in the length of service disruption
during routine maintenance.
CONCLUSION
Rail privatisation has succeeded in growing
rail passenger traffic to record levels, assisted by continuing
economic growth and increasing road traffic congestion. However,
annual subsidies have not decreased in real terms; in 2002-03
they were almost identical to those received before privatisation
by British Rail in 1993-94.
The policy of accepting the lowest subsidy bids
for first round franchises proved to be unsustainable (Knowles,
2004, p 2078).
Regions outside south-east England have suffered
the most negative consequences of rail privatisation as Regional
sector franchises faced the twin challenges of the highest annual
financial improvements to replace declining subsidies and a dearth
of capital investment. The average age of rolling stock is now,
for example, much higher in the Northern franchise than in the
south-east commuter franchises.
Refranchising has not in most cases levered
significant private capital investment in infrastructure, rolling
stock and new services.
REFERENCES
Knowles R D (1998) Passenger rail privatization in
Great Britain and its implications, especially for urban areas,
Journal of Transport Geography, 6(2), 117-133.
Knowles R D (2004) Impacts of privatising Britain's
rail passenger servicesfranchising, refranchising and Ten
Year Transport Plan targets, Environment and Planning A,
36, 2065-2087.
29 June 2006
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