Examination of Witnesses (Questions 500-519)
DEREK TWIGG,
MR MARK
LAMBIRTH AND
MR ROGER
JONES
19 JULY 2006
Q500 Chairman: I did not get that
last bit.
Derek Twigg: It is also interesting
in terms of the added value, the improvement that train operating
companies have brought about to the train network over and above
the economic return which has brought about the increase in passengers
so far.
Q501 Graham Stringer: You have said,
Minister, that it is both the economy and the franchising system
of the railway, but what percentages would you put on the increase
in passengers due to the economic upturn and because of the way
the railways are operated now?
Mr Lambirth: The only piece of
analytical work I have seen on this is the one that was done by
Chris Nash[2]
in his ECMT paper. His assessment was that approximately 50% was
attributable to GDP growth, approximately 30% to fares and to
congestion on the roads, which is quite an important issue, and
20% to the effects of privatisation. There are two limitations
on that: firstly, it was looking at the period 1995 to 1999, so
the early days of privatisation, and maybe they expected a bigger
impact there; and, secondly, it was looking only at London and
the South East which is not the area of the country in which TOCs
can do most to increase demand.
Chairman: Minister, I hoped to allow
you to escape before the vote, but I am going to ask you to come
back.
The Committee was suspended from 4.56
pm to 5.06 pm for a division in the House.
Q502 Graham Stringer: Thank you for that
answer, which was about one-fifth, I think. In our last evidence
session, I think it was, Mr Ford said that he agreed with Professor
Nash that all the growth was exogenous, which I take to mean externally
stimulated, not stimulated by the actions of people within the
railway system. I would like to ask the question in two parts:
firstly, do you have any comment on that as it is in direct contradiction
to the previous answer; and, secondly, if you do not agree with
it, do you think it is worth doing further research to find out
what is stimulated and what is from the economy?
Derek Twigg: No, I do not accept
it. I think if you look at the facts of the massive increase in
the use of the railway, the improved reliability, the improved
rolling stock and customer service in many parts of the railway
network is focused on more information for passengers, I have
personally had conversations with passengers myself and people
who work for the railway and I am not saying everyone agrees,
but a significant number of people are saying that it has improved
and it is more attractive to use. I do think it would be difficult
to say that there has been no impact of that on attracting more
people on to the railway and that it is all down to the fact that
the economy is doing so well, so I do not accept that. You are
right in terms of what percentage it may or not be, and we are
going to do some research on that.
Q503 Chairman: How do you justify
the escalating costs of a franchise bidding process when it is
estimated to cost each bidder £3 million to £5 million
and with further significant costs incurred by the Department?
Derek Twigg: Well, in terms of
what the bidders want to put into it, that is a matter for them.
In terms of what they submit and how they wish to address it,
what research they do, the surveys, it is a matter for them in
terms of how much they want to put into the bid. I think, as part
of our new franchise process for South West Trains, which is the
first one which I mentioned before, we have streamlined that.
I do not know what the costs are made up of actually, but I think
it is a matter for them how much they spend on it.
Q504 Chairman: Well, we have got
a written answer from the Department which said that between 2001
and 2004 the SRA "had incurred costs totalling £40.7
million".
Derek Twigg: Sorry, are you talking
about the whole costs or the train operating bidders' costs?
Q505 Chairman: Well, the SRA is technically
part of what you now are, is it not?
Derek Twigg: I am sorry, I thought
you were referring to the bidders' costs.
Q506 Chairman: Well, it is, but,
as I pointed out, it is not just the bidders. The bidders are
saying £3 million to £5 million for them, but also you
are incurring considerable costs. It said that, "Between
April 2004 and November 2005, £14.4 million had been spent".
Derek Twigg: I will ask Mr Lambirth
to talk about this, but I think it is important to get this in
perspective as well. These are obviously large contracts for a
significant part of the transport network. It is important that
the deliverability is right and it is important that we get the
improved service and the investment that we want in this, so I
think it is right that we do spend money, though not waste money
and not do it unnecessarily, but to make sure
Q507 Chairman: Well, in that case,
can you tell me how much the refranchising process has cost the
Department in the last five years?
Mr Lambirth: You have some SRA
numbers. Refranchising cost us £8.4 million in the last financial
year, but that is only nine months of the year because we took
over the SRA three months in. That is £8.4 million last year,
so call it £11 million on an annualised basis.
Q508 Chairman: So that is 2005-06,
but only nine months?
Mr Lambirth: Yes, and I would
expect a broadly comparable level of expenditure, ie about £11
million, on an annualised basis for 2006-07, the current financial
year. The aim is to get it down by reducing the use of consultants,
but that is not a quick or easy process.
Q509 Chairman: Have you got an estimate
of the total cost of each round?
Mr Lambirth: To us?
Q510 Chairman: Or you can give me
both. I would not say no to both.
Mr Lambirth: A rough estimate
to us is probably of the order of £2.5 million per franchise.
Q511 Chairman: Is that good value?
Mr Lambirth: It is letting contracts
which, on average, are generating perhaps £200 million per
annum of revenue, so they are quite big franchises. As I say,
the aim is to get it down, but that is by bringing things in house
and becoming less dependent on consultants, not, I think, by doing
less work.
Q512 Chairman: Are you content with
the system of referral to the Competition Commission?
Derek Twigg: That is a matter
for the Competition Commission in terms of the regulator. It is
a matter for them, another body, in terms of determining that,
but it is an issue that they must decide. It is not for us to
decide.
Q513 Chairman: So you do not even
have a view on whether the system is working correctly or not?
That is of no importance to you?
Derek Twigg: Well
Q514 Chairman: Mr Jones, is the system
working or is the system not working and, if it is not working,
how is it not working?
Mr Jones: Technically, the replacement
of a franchise with a new franchise is classified as a merger
legally and, therefore, the OFT and the Competition Commission
take a view on that merger and whether they wish to investigate
it. There has been quite a lot of dialogue over the years between
the former SRA, the Competition Commission and the OFT and we
have now got in place, I think, an agreement whereby rather than
every single bidder being referred to that process, only the successful
bidder is then reviewed by the OFT and the Competition Commission
where they decide whether there is an issue they need to resolve.
Derek Twigg: Certainly they can
take an overview in terms of the wider issues.
Q515 Chairman: I understand that
they must have a view on their own powers, I do understand that,
but you do understand that we need to know whether franchising
is good value for money and if all of the bidders are being referred,
then we need to know that this is a sensible use of their money
and ours.
Derek Twigg: I understand that.
Q516 Chairman: You did not get the
PTEs involved in the franchising process through the Railways
Act, did you? Is there a reason for that?
Derek Twigg: Not got them involved?
They are involved in terms of the consultation.
Q517 Chairman: Well, they were pretty
marginalised, were they not?
Derek Twigg: No. As you know,
from your examination and discussions you will have had on the
Act, we took the view in terms of the DfT taking the strategic
direction and setting what we need in terms of the railway, but
that is not marginalising them because they were involved and
consulted at various stages during the franchising process and
of course they can still suggest decrements and increments as
part of that process.
Q518 Graham Stringer: But, because
they are not signatories to the contract, the private sector is
bound to see them as less important. What the 2005 Act did was
effectively remove their right to sign the contracts, did it not,
so it was reducing the rights of the PTEs? Why was that so important?
Derek Twigg: Well, we felt, as
I say, because we wanted to take the strategic direction we have
and take responsibility for obviously setting the bids and the
minimum service, that we should do that. Obviously as co-signatories
they worked with the SRA of course and certain things happened
in being co-signatories. Now, that might not obviously have been
in the best interests of the railway overall and it might have
been a particular issue in your area, so I think we had to look
at that as well, but I would sort of reject the point that they
are not involved and that somehow they have been marginalised.
They are still very much an important partner and very much an
important part of the delivery and consultation for the franchise.
Q519 Graham Stringer: But they are
not involved on a statutory basis?
Derek Twigg: No, they are not.
That is the view we took, as you know.
2 Answers 410 and 501: For clarity, Derek Twigg and
Mark Lambirth are both referring to the same study that was produced
for the ECMT Workshop on Competitive Tendering of Rail Passenger
Services: Experience to Date by Chris Nash and Andrew Smith (ITS,
University of Leeds) entitled, "Passenger Rail Franchising-British
Experience" (Paris, 12 January 2006). In this paper, Nash
and Smith look at the "Impact of External Variables on 1990-98
Rail Demand Growth" [Source: Wardman (2005)] and note "A
distinct change in trend post 1995 is found, accounting for some
20% of the growth for London and South East". Back
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