Examination of Witnesses (Questions 460-479)
DEREK TWIGG,
MR MARK
LAMBIRTH AND
MR ROGER
JONES
19 JULY 2006
Q460 Clive Efford: Let us go through
a scenario. If there were a downturn in the economy, and the profitability
of the rail franchises is very much reflected in employment and
the performance of the economy, and a rail franchisee came back
to the Department and said, "Look, we just can't make ends
meet," would you renegotiate?
Mr Lambirth: We would have two
types of TOC in those circumstances coming back to us. There is
the one that has a new style contract with revenue risk sharing
mechanism in place, and we would say, "No, we're sticking
to the letter of the contract." The whole purpose of writing
revenue risk sharing into the contract was to address precisely
that scenario. What we have said in the guidance on rail franchising
that we placed on our website is that if in that sort of circumstance
a train operator who was operating under an old-style franchise
came to us, we would entertain the claim. You have to understand
we have a negotiating position that we would be seeking to protect,
but certainly we would take a case from them.
Q461 Clive Efford: If I am First
Group, a big, powerful player in the network, and I say, "You
are exposing me to too much risk because there has been this downturn
and there is not enough coming back through the fare box,"
are you seriously saying you are just going to sit back and say,
"Tough luck, old son"?
Mr Lambirth: Yes, because you
have also heard from people who say that we have transferred too
little risk to the train operating companies, that we have revenue
risk sharing mechanisms under which, at the extreme end of the
spectrum, we could be bearing 80% of the revenue risk downside
and the TOC only 20%. They willingly entered into franchises on
those terms, so yes, that is what I am saying.
Q462 Clive Efford: We would be talking
about parts of the network being significantly reduced, would
we not? What would the Government's reaction to that be?
Derek Twigg: In terms of the point
that Mr Lambirth has just made, if they are in breach of the franchise,
then that is a different matter. Then obviously we could take
that off them and re-franchise.
Q463 Clive Efford: There are two
points here. There is one about the reaction to the position of
a train operating company in a downturn in the economy. The other
is, does the Department actually feel in any way intimidated by
a large corporation that has a multiple number of franchises?
Derek Twigg: No. We are very clear.
We set up a franchise, it is clear what they have got to deliver,
and we expect them to stick to that.
Q464 Clive Efford: What about the
costs of the industry? Why have train operators failed to control
their costs in recent years, resulting in increases of 47%?
Derek Twigg: Again, it is an interesting
figure but none of us can actually determine where it comes from
or how it is backed up with anything in particular. I think I
mentioned in my opening remarks, Mrs Dunwoody, and it is probably
worth reiterating in answer to Mr Efford, that if you look currently,
the TOC fare box revenue is 47%, and of course, the passenger
journeys have increased by 42% and passenger train kilometres
operated is up by 23%. We are looking at costs of around 27%.
So I do not think that is excessive in terms of what is happening
on the railway. It is not in the interests of train operating
companies to increase their costs. What is in their interests
is to drive down costs but to provide a good-quality passenger
service, which then attracts more passengers and therefore more
income.
Q465 Clive Efford: We have had evidence
from Professor Nash that the figure we had for four years directly
post Hatfield are that, having stripped out track access charges
and payments to the ROSCOs, train operating costs appear to have
gone up by 47% in real terms. You do not recognise those figures?
Derek Twigg: We do not recognise
them.
Q466 Clive Efford: I was going to
say "spiralling costs" but costs are going up and you
have accepted they are going up. How do you intend to bring those
costs down in future?
Mr Lambirth: We are in danger
of using "costs" in two rather different contexts here.
When we are letting a franchise, we are not actually interested
in what the costs of the franchisee are, although we are very
interested in whether their cost reduction plans are realistic
or in what their revenue is, though we are very interested in
whether their revenue increase plans are realistic, because the
price that they are bidding to us is the difference between the
two. So if a train operating company looks at an opportunity and
says, "Look, if I spend an extra £1 million on improving
catering or recruiting extra revenue protection staff, that will
generate £2 million of revenue" then they will do it
and that must be in both their interests and ours. So we have
no separate aim of controlling their cost line. We are very concerned
about the gap between revenue and costs, which is what they bid
to us.
Q467 Clive Efford: The train operating
companies have said to us that part of the reason that their costs
are escalating is that Network Rail's costs are a significant
contributor. Are we passing on Network Rail's costs to train operating
companies and is it passing the buck?
Derek Twigg: Network Rail have
a clear target that they have to reduce their costs by 31%, and
they are now on track to doing that, and I think they are getting
better in terms of reducing the costs and being more efficient.
You have to obviously take account of what happened in terms of
the miles of rail track and what they had to pick up. Clearly,
they need to continue to improve and, as I say, the target is
a 31% efficiency saving and they are on target for that.
Q468 Chairman: Do you not think it
is odd that in the bus industry tendering has meant there have
been very big reductions in operating costs, but in the rail industry
franchising has coincided with great increases? Does that not
suggest franchises have failed to deliver value for money?
Mr Lambirth: Over time, our subsidy
bill to the train operating companies is down, over a period when
. . .
Q469 Chairman: Was that not the original
intention, Mr Lambirth?
Mr Lambirth: Yes.
Q470 Chairman: So you are not doing
anything that you are not expecting to do. You are just telling
us that you are doing what you decided to do in the first place?
Mr Lambirth: Not me personally,
but yes, the aim of privatisation was . . .
Q471 Chairman: I do not hold you
entirely responsible for the whole system.
Mr Lambirth: Thank you. What we
have seen is an increase in passenger numbers and a reduction
in the subsidy bill. The bus market looks very different but,
as I keep on saying, I think it would be very wrong for us to
set out and have an objective of trying to drive down train operating
companies' costs, to say we think that rolling stock leasing costs
should be driven down by this amount, pay bill by that amount,
or energy prices by that amount, because the whole purpose of
franchising is to put a private sector company in a position where
they are incentivised to maximise the difference between the revenue
and the costs.
Q472 Chairman: Yet we are eternally
being told that one of the problems with the franchise decisions
is that, when it comes down to it, cost is one of the things that
is more important to you than the quality of service.
Mr Lambirth: No. Price, not cost.
Derek Twigg: Deliverability and
price.
Mr Lambirth: If you want to talk
about the assessment of companies' bids, we are looking at two
things: their proposition to us on price, ie the gap between revenue
and cost, and their proposition on reliability, how much they
would reduce delay when it is within their control; and then we
also ask the question which Mr Twigg poses: are we confident that
this is a deliverable proposition on both price and reliability?
Q473 Chairman: Do you look at how
other nations within the European Union handle their franchise
system, for example, the Dutch?
Mr Lambirth: We have talked to
Anton Valk, who gave evidence about the Dutch system, but it is
hugely different, as he will have explained to you. You have the
provincial franchises, which are very small, and you have a single
very large national franchise, which is the franchise that he
operates out there. So yes, we have discussed it, but the regimes
are so very different from those in the UK.
Q474 Chairman: Yes and no, Mr Lambirth.
It is not the greatest land area in the world, even if we take
account of both the franchises that relate to the regional input
and those that relate to the national input. The whole geographical
area is not so large that one would have thought one could differentiate
too strongly.
Mr Lambirth: I think the point
I am making is, if we had a single franchise which covered 80%
of the railway network in Great Britain, then inevitably your
approach to that operator would be different from the one which
we pursue.
Q475 Chairman: Do you think it is
constructive to use different franchise models for franchises
that can pay a premium and those that require subsidy?
Mr Lambirth: I do not think we
are convinced that there is a huge difference between franchises
which pay premia and franchises which receive subsidy. In both
cases we are setting the minimum level of service which we expect
the franchisee to deliver, and I do not think that in either case
it would be safe to allow the franchisee to determine what the
service level should be, in other words, to have a reduction below
the minimum which Ministers specified. The reason for that is
that although a franchise may be paying a premium, that is not
the same thing as saying that all of the services along that franchise
are commercially viable. So in effect, we are asking the franchisee
to provide services on there which are not commercially viable
but which are judged by Ministers to be necessary.
Q476 Chairman: Would you accept that
innovative proposals that are contained in a bid could be disqualified
from being part of the bid if they are not fully and formally
compliant with all aspects of the technical specifications?
Derek Twigg: That is part of the
bidding process in terms of costed options, in terms of if a bid
has come forward with innovative ideas for improvement in services
. . . A classic example, I suppose, is that we looked at the sleeper
service to the West Country, which obviously we talked about at
one stage stopping, but the franchisee, the winner, felt they
could continue with that and improve the service. So if they have
an innovative idea or suggestion which obviously stacks up and
we believe is value for money, then clearly it is something we
will look at. I come back to the point, Mrs Dunwoody, that this
minimum service level is what it is: a minimum. They are free
within certain constraints, which I have explained, to come forward
with additional proposals if they wish in terms of extra services.
Q477 Chairman: Why is it that both
the industry and the companies seem to be still confused about
how straightforward and accountable, consistent, you are in setting
and adhering to award criteria?
Derek Twigg: I think that we have
just taken over responsibility, as I said before, and the first
franchise that we started basically from start to finish will
be the South Western franchise, and I think you will see a number
of improvements being made in terms of how we work with the industry,
consulted on that franchise, and I think there is much more clarity
in that.
Q478 Chairman: How are you held publicly
accountable for your choice and application of criteria for franchise
winners? The Department, not you entirely.
Derek Twigg: I am not quite clear
in terms of what you mean, Mrs Dunwoody.
Q479 Chairman: It is said that we
have very little underpinning evidence in the public domain as
to the rationale used by the awarding authority.
Derek Twigg: We have published
on the website information about how we do that. Certainly in
the franchises that we have started, the South Western franchise,
and we are continuing at this present moment in terms of the West
Midlands, East Midlands and Cross Country going through extensive
consultation meetings with stakeholders in those particular areas
of the country, discussing in quite some depth and detail. So
I think there is quite a lot of work going on. It may be that
is caught up in the issue around the Great Western franchise,
where there are issues about the consultation and how that was
dealt with, but clearly, the franchises we are starting as a Department,
that has changed.
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