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CORRECTED TRANSCRIPT OF ORAL EVIDENCE To be published as HC 490-ii

House of COMMONS

MINUTES OF EVIDENCE

TAKEN BEFORE

SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY COMMITTEE

 

 

OST SCRUTINY 2005

 

 

Wednesday 25 January 2006

LORD SAINSBURY OF TURVILLE

Evidence heard in Public Questions 32 - 73

 

 

USE OF THE TRANSCRIPT

 

1. This is a corrected transcript of evidence taken in public and reported to the House. The transcript has been placed on the internet on the authority of the Committee, and copies have been made available by the Vote Office for the use of Members and others.

 

2. The transcript is an approved formal record of these proceedings. It will be printed in due course.


Oral Evidence

Taken before the Science and Technology Committee

on Wednesday 25 January 2006

Members present

Mr Phil Willis, in the Chair

Adam Afriyie

Mr Robert Flello

Dr Evan Harris

Dr Brian Iddon

Margaret Moran

Mr Brooks Newmark

________________

 

Witness: Lord Sainsbury of Turville, a Member of the House of Lords, Parliamentary Under Secretary of State, Science and Innovation, Department of Trade and Industry, gave evidence.

Q32 Chairman: Can I welcome you, Lord Sainsbury, to the Committee once again and may I make the point of thanking you very much for extending your time with us, it is much appreciated, and we do appreciate what efforts you put into supporting science and technology. Could I also welcome amongst our visitors today students from Cardinal Newman School in Luton. You are particularly welcome and we hope you will enjoy meeting the Minister and listening to some of the questions which he will answer in his elegant way over the next 40 minutes. Minister, what role is the Office of Science and Technology playing in the current Energy Review?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: OST is contributing to the Review in a number of ways, focusing in particular on energy research and innovation aspects. For example, members of the Council for Science and Technology, co-chaired by Sir David King, last year published an important report on energy and they will be meeting with Malcolm Wicks tomorrow to discuss how the committee can assist. In addition, the new public/private sector Energy Research Partnership, again co-chaired by Sir David King, will, at its launch meeting later today, consider, for the head of the review team, areas where it can contribute. OST officials are also assisting engagement with the science and engineering communities.

Q33 Chairman: You mentioned Sir David King a number of times then and clearly he is playing a significant role. How much weight do you put on his advice in terms of this Energy Review and particularly his comments about nuclear power? Is he speaking for the Department?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, it is always important to understand that chief scientific advisers play, I think, a very independent role and I think that is a very healthy position. They do not, in that context, speak for the Government necessarily. I think it is very important in terms of their public credibility that they are seen to be independent, so I think the answer to your question is that we put a great deal of weight on his views because I think he is a very distinguished and really excellent scientist, but, on the other hand, he is not speaking for the Government.

Q34 Chairman: When the Energy Minister says that our treatment, for instance, of nuclear waste over the last 20/30 years is a public disgrace and that only eight per cent of the 2.3 million cubic metres of waste is actively being dealt with, do you think it is credible for the Chief Scientific Adviser then to be openly saying that we need another X number of nuclear reactors in order to meet our power needs before the Energy Review has even taken place?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: If that is his view, then I think he is entitled to take that view. Equally, I think the Energy Review will have to consider, as a very key part of its report, whether the waste issue and the safety issues are such that it would not be right to go ahead with nuclear energy. Those are clearly two issues that need to be solved, and the Prime Minister has made it very clear that those issues have to be solved, before we could go ahead with nuclear energy.

Q35 Chairman: But in terms of actually where OST puts its resources or encourages the research councils to put their resources, how much additional effort is being made to deal with that issue particularly of dealing with waste?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, I think it should be said that, if you look at the spread of energy resources, they cover all these issues and we are putting very substantial resources into both renewable areas and into areas to do with nuclear waste, safety and clear-up, so I do not think there is any bias in those areas. If there is a problem, there was a tremendous fall in energy research both by the private sector and the public sector over the late 1980s/early 1990s and I think perhaps we may have taken too long to correct that, but we are now correcting it and putting more money into energy research.

Q36 Mr Newmark: We are still curious as to why the Government is approaching the Health & Safety Executive now and will the implementation of the Energy Review's recommendations be conditional on the findings of the Health & Safety Executive?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think it should be clear what we are asking. What we are asking the Health & Safety Executive to look at is the processes, particularly the processes involved in pre-licensing, so that we have an understanding of that as part of the Energy Review. Of course there is no way that any of this could go ahead unless the nuclear safety issue was dealt with and we had confirmation that not only nuclear safety in general, but particular designs were safe in this process.

Q37 Mr Newmark: I am rather curious because I know that a number of environmental campaigners in particular are concerned that this is just merely a process and that it has already been decided that nuclear is going ahead. Can you give us some thoughts as to why their concerns should be alleviated that the nuclear option effectively is not necessarily a fait accompli?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, as I said, the Prime Minister has always made it absolutely clear that, unless the safety and waste issues are dealt with, this will not go ahead.

Q38 Mr Newmark: Given the rising levels of CO2 emissions from transport, is the Government prepared to put more funding into R&D in such areas as fuel cell technology and biofuels?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think the point of the Energy Review is just this: that it is a review and I think, whether it is nuclear or what money one puts into energy efficiency, one should not prejudge the Review, but one should look at what comes out of that Review and then, on the basis of that, go forward. As I said, I think we still have a lot of work to do to make certain that we are putting enough money into energy research and putting it into the right places. That is why David King is now chairing this Energy Research Partnership because this is both a private sector and a public sector issue.

Q39 Mr Newmark: But you have not really answered my question directly which has to do with transportation. Transportation is at the moment viewed still as a major problem with pollution and, specifically on that, do you yourself have any particular views as to the need to be focusing on alternatives such as, as I said, fuel cell technology and biofuels?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, can I just go back one step. I do think there is a tendency always to see this issue in terms of electricity generation and people tend to focus on that issue solely. Of course if you are going to deal with the CO2 emissions, you have got to deal also with the whole issue of transport, so I think hopefully there will be more focus on transport in the future as well as electricity generation. If you are going to focus on transport, then obviously issues like hydrogen become very much more important.

Q40 Mr Newmark: One of the biggest challenges that we seem to face is that, whilst there do seem to be some strides at least into achieving certain goals with auto transport, one of the big challenges actually is to do with air transport and, regarding air transport, there is a report, I think it is the Air Transport White Paper, forecasting that by 2030 CO2 emissions from UK aviation could amount to a quarter, 25 per cent, of the UK's total contribution to global warming, so I am curious again, is there any focus on that particular area because that seems to be a major challenge today?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, I can only repeat what I said which is that I think transport is a much bigger part of this than sometimes it is given credit for and, therefore, doing actions to do with this is very important. I should say that there is now a lot of research going on in the aerospace industry, quite a large part of it supported by the Technology Strategy which is about finding or developing the environmentally friendly engine for planes in the future.

Q41 Chairman: Just before we leave this section, you have talked about the Health & Safety Executive review feeding into the Energy Review. The Energy Review, according to Malcolm Wicks, is going to be completed by this summer, yet the HSE review in 18 months' time is due to report, so how can that feed into that Review to be effective for this summer?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I need to look exactly at the issue here. I think what has been looked at is simply the processes of pre-licensing, what the processes are which are involved in that. I may have been mistaken in saying that that would feed into the Energy Review itself, but clearly it is sensible to get on with looking at the question of what kind of processes you might have in that.

Q42 Chairman: There is a major concern for us, Lord Sainsbury, that the Energy Minister has made clear that by this summer there will be a set of proposals being put to the Government in terms of our future energy policy. The Prime Minister and yourself have clearly said that the issues of dealing with waste in particular and safety are crucial, yet the Health & Safety Executive are not going to report for 18 months, so I do not understand those timescales and how one can inform the other.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, I think the Prime Minister has also, and we have always, made it absolutely clear that, if the Energy Review took the view that nuclear should be or ought to be looked at as part of our energy mix, there would still be a further process which would probably be a White Paper on the question of nuclear and that would obviously have to involve issues like safety.

Q43 Chairman: Moving on to question 2, are you satisfied with the operation of current safeguards against the publication of misleading research?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: In 1998 the Director General of Research Councils and the Research Council Chief Executive issued clear guidance on good practice which aims to ensure that misconduct is not tolerated. This places the principal responsibility for monitoring misconduct with the institution in which the researchers are based. Institutions must have procedures in place in line with this guidance and must investigate and report any cases of misconduct. An average of two or three allegations of misconduct a year have been reported to the research councils over the last ten years. These have been investigated according to the established research council procedures and appropriate action taken where justified. There appears to be no upward trend, but RCUK have been reviewing the measures in place. Commercial publishers are of course responsible for the accuracy of the material they publish.

Q44 Dr Iddon: Do you think there really is a need for a mandatory ethical code for scientists to be published?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think it is something worth looking at and the Council of Science and Technology have issued a document which the OST will be looking at. This is called Rigour, Respect and Responsibility. I think that is important in general terms, but I think the point I hope to make in my first answer is that I think the place to look at first is whether there appears to be a problem or not in what is actually going on. As far as I can see, there is no upward trend. There were a rather small number of allegations, and what I mentioned were allegations, not proven cases. To be quite honest, when one talks about scientific misconduct, there are only two issues: one is fabrication and falsification of data; and the other is plagiarism. I do not think there has to be a great deal of clarification of what is involved in these. In most cases it must be very clear to the perpetrators that they are falsifying or fabricating data or indeed plagiarising. However, I think we should look more closely at the particular allegations which have been made and see if there is any misunderstanding which needs to be clarified to scientists.

Q45 Dr Iddon: In your answer, you put the onus on institutions, but can I put it to you that most scientists are members also of professional societies and most professional societies already have a code of conduct for their members. How do you see the institutions' role playing against the role of the professional societies to whom scientists might belong? In any case, we could make it mandatory for an academic to belong to his or her professional society.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, I think the position taken by the Director General of the Research Councils and the Research Council Chief Executive is the easiest way to do it, which is to put the responsibility on the institutions and, given that the system seems to work very well, I do not think there is any need to add anything to it. Indeed, the people on the spot are more likely to pick up and understand the issues involved.

Q46 Dr Iddon: How can we stop ghost-writing which is a phenomenon largely used by the pharmaceutical industry?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think it is a rather difficult issue. I think this might be a case where clarification of the ethics of this should be established. I do not know what the ethical situation is or what code of conduct there is which covers this, but that might be a case where further ethical clarification was needed, and obviously that would be a Department of Health responsibility, I think.

Q47 Dr Iddon: Do you think we are putting too much pressure on our academics these days by way of the research assessment exercise concentrating more and more research in fewer and fewer universities and, thereby, academics feel that they have to produce at the cutting edge in order to stay in the institutions in which they are working presently?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Obviously you can make a lot of ethical issues go away if you say to people, "You don't have to perform to very high standards in terms of scientific productivity", but obviously that has implications for scientific productivity. It is like the issue as to whether you encourage scientists to do work with industry, and obviously, if you do that, there is a bit more pressure on ethical standards. I think the way to do it is to require high standards of quality and scientific productivity, but make it very clear what the general issues of rigour and responsibility are.

Q48 Dr Iddon: Regarding industry, I have two questions. Firstly, do you think we should make it mandatory for the name of sponsors to be published in a paper, the people who have sponsored the work, so that we know if there is any industrial affiliation which has led to that work being published? Secondly, should we not be worried about industrial sponsors, particularly in the light of what has happened with the drug, Actonel, in Sheffield where obviously the amount of money coming into that university has obviously put a lot of pressure on that university and has led to a difficulty in Sheffield of which I hope you are aware.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I am afraid I am not aware of that particular case. Again I think the issues to start with are whether we see any problems existing and, if there was any sort of upward trend or situation where there appeared to be more instances of misconduct, then one needs to look at whether one should take action to deal with this, but, as I say, from the figures we have, there appears to be no change in this position. Obviously if there appears to be a new set of problems occurring, we ought to look at it and see what should be done.

Q49 Dr Harris: You are aware of the Wakefield study on MMR in The Lancet and the controversy around that and we have got a series of questions around that. Firstly, do you think there is a concern that a rush to publish controversial information leads potentially to the short-circuiting or the shortcutting of peer review? Secondly, do you think that The Lancet in that case, after the revelations came to light and it completed its investigation in five days and came to a judgment and only some time later was the article partially withdrawn by part of the authorship, do you consider that to be a satisfactory way of dealing with it or should we have a much more rigorous way of looking into these sorts of cases when the stakes are so high?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I feel very strongly, because of a number of incidents, that actually insisting that people do not publish things until they have been properly peer reviewed is extremely important and it is a message we need to make very clearly again. There will always be people who say, "Well, the information is so important that we must get it into the public arena", but I think this is a very dangerous attitude because, if it then turns out that the research is wrong or has been misinterpreted, that is a very serious situation.

Q50 Dr Harris: Because the more controversial the research is, arguably the greater the scrutiny that needs to apply, not the less.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: That would be entirely the view I would take.

Q51 Dr Harris: Do you think that the current approach through the Committee on Publication Ethics is working because you said there is some responsibility on the journals as well as the institutions, so do you think that system is working adequately or do you think there is a need for the system to look at that, and I am not advocating government action here, just your view?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, on the issue of peer review, I do not think there is again any lack of clarity that people should have things peer reviewed before they start making statements about them, so I think it is not a question of misunderstanding, but it is a question of people not abiding by the rules. I think it is a good question to look at, whether there are enough clear statements which everyone subscribes to that in these circumstances there should be perhaps more pressure that people do not make these statements before they are peer reviewed.

Q52 Dr Harris: Let me finish with the specific suggestion to get your initial view on it. In clinical research, which is some of the most important research using patients, in order to get approval for the study, you have to submit a protocol to an ethics committee, a detailed protocol saying what you are going to do. It seems that, when you then submit the manuscript for publication, you do not have to, and it is not expected that you, submit the protocol so that they can check that you have actually conducted the research in the published version in line with what you said you would do when you got ethical approval. Certainly in my view and in the view of many others, that is what happened with the Wakefield case. Do you think there is an argument that journals should demand the ethical protocol so that they can check that everything that is said in the publication is pretty much in line with what they got ethical approval for?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, I think that raises a number of quite complicated issues. The issue we were talking about before is people communicating things before they have been peer reviewed, so that is one issue. The issue I think you are talking about is a different one which is that you have ethical approval for a particular protocol and getting a journal then to check that what research had been done was in line with that protocol ----

Q53 Dr Harris: As part of peer review.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: ----- again it might be a useful and important thing to do, but again I do not know of any examples and I do not know whether that is a real problem or issue. If it was, then obviously we should look at it and take action.

Q54 Chairman: What consultations did you have with NERC, the National Environment Research Council, prior to the recent announcement of the closures at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: During the allocation process following the Spending Review of 2004, NERC indicated to my officials that providing the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology with a sustainable future was a high priority. NERC then examined options to achieve this in line with their responsibilities. This included the Strategic Review over last summer with stakeholders. OST was consulted about the proposals NERC then developed to put CEH on a sustainable basis. An allocation out of the science budget was then agreed in order to help achieve CEH's sustainability. NERC is currently consulting on its proposals with the public and the staff. CEH has seen a fall in contract research in recent years. I think it is to the credit of NERC that they are grasping the implications of this now, looking at their science priorities and developing a science programme for CEH which is of high quality and sustainable.

Q55 Adam Afriyie: Are you personally content with the proposed closures and the handling of them by NERC?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think there are two different issues here. As far as the decision about consulting on the closures is concerned, I think that is totally the decision of NERC. We have, I think, a very strong tradition in this country which says that those kinds of scientific decisions should be made by the scientists and not by ministers. I think the responsibility I have and OST have is just to make certain that the way it is done and the way the planning of it is done is done in a responsible manner, and I am content that they are doing this in a very clear and responsible manner; they produced a very clear corporate plan and they are consulting on it.

Q56 Adam Afriyie: During your consultations, what form of consultation was there and is there any circumstance in which you have steered the direction of the closures or nudged them in any way or recommended?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: No, we were concerned essentially with the process, that they had produced a proper plan, that they had consulted on this, that they seemed to be taking account of all the issues you should take account of and that they were doing it in a responsible manner.

Q57 Adam Afriyie: So they initiated the idea to close it?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: This was their plan. They realised they had a problem in this area and they, therefore, developed a plan to deal with it. The only comment I would make is that I think it is to their credit that they are tackling this problem and trying to put it on a sustainable basis and not letting it continue in its present form.

Q58 Adam Afriyie: I just want to be absolutely clear that it was NERC that initiated the idea of the closures.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Absolutely. This was initiated by them because they realised that they had a problem here.

Q59 Adam Afriyie: If there are no questions over the quality of the science coming from the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, why was it cut back, do you think?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think there are a number of issues here, and let me say something about the funding there. First of all, NERC is, like all the research councils, having a very substantial increase in its budget allocation. It has almost doubled since 1997 to £134 million a year, so it has gone up very substantially. Within that, of course there are changes in terms of what NERC consider the priorities to be where issues like climate change have become more important, although in this particular case, as far as I can see, NERC do not think there will be any reduction in their research portfolio in the fields of ecological and hydrological research. What is happening here, in common I think with a number of the special research institutions of research councils, is that they are coming under pressure because more and more there is an inclination to do basic research or blue-sky research in this sort of field as in other fields of science within universities because, by doing it within a university, you can access all the different disciplines, so there is a tendency to shift from institutes ----

Q60 Adam Afriyie: A bit more competition, you are saying?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: No, not more competition. It is that there is a well-considered view internationally that separate research institutes have the disadvantage that they become obviously specialised science institutions and in today's multi-disciplinary world, basic research increasingly should be done in a multi-disciplinary environment like universities. That is one issue.

Q61 Dr Harris: I have Oxford, one of the sites earmarked for closure, in my constituency, I should say, but that is embedded within the university, the building, so it is hard to see that argument. You say that there is going to be no impact, or NERC tell you, on their research, but there are redundancies here, so the volume must go down and biodiversity in particular is well recognised to be markedly affected. Do you think in this area, with climate change and other issues impacting on diversity, that we can afford to lose that volume and make these redundancies, even the planned redundancies from 600 to 400? How NERC can think that people, particularly women scientists, are going to relocate hundreds of miles away, in the case of the Scottish centre, is, I think, a bit hard to believe, so on those two issues, the volume and the biodiversity so the loss of capacity, is that not something that questions should be asked about by you?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: No, I think the point I was trying to make is that there is not a fall of research in this area, but it is being done in other places, in this case in the universities. The other issue that I was just going to draw attention to is that these institutes have had quite a high proportion of contract commercial research done in them. What NERC has to do is take a judgment on the trends in this and whether this is sustainable over the long term and indeed whether it is high quality ----

Q62 Dr Harris: I understand because you have said that already, but in the reply we got from NERC, when we asked them, "What impact would the closures be expected to have on the expertise available in CEH?", they said, "Because some science would be discontinued, the breadth of expertise would decrease", so even they are admitting something that you are not admitting. If you reduce from 600 to 400, regardless of what is already happening in universities, that is a reduction in capacity. That is just maths.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: No, I think what the letter says, from what you say, is that there will be a drop of expertise within CEH. That is not the same as what I was saying, which is looking at what is the total amount of research and expertise across the whole of NERC's portfolio, a very large proportion of which goes through universities.

Q63 Chairman: Do you think the reduction in terms of the institutes is a trend, Lord Sainsbury? Are we likely to see that across other research councils where the work of the institutes becomes less important as work goes into the universities and should we be concerned about that?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: We do not have a policy on this, so this is not a situation where we are, as a matter of policy, pushing this, but I think, if you just observe what is going on and the decisions being made in particular situations, there is a rather clear trend here. For example, the NMIR, the whole question of the relocation where we consulted very much on an international basis, an enormously strong steer was given that the rebuilding should not take place on its current site in Mill Hill, but it should be linked in to a major university, and I think that was probably very good advice.

Q64 Chairman: But you have a review going on at the moment of all the institutes, so you must have some concerns about their future viability?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, I think all I am saying is that I think you will see more cases where people will take the view that, for that area of science, it should be placed within a multi-disciplinary environment if you want to get really world-class science. I think that as a whole is probably the right judgment in many cases, but again I think this is a judgment that the scientists ought to be making within their particular fields and particular areas of research.

Q65 Chairman: Our last line of questioning is on research and development and knowledge transfer. What conclusions do you draw from the DTI's Autumn Performance Report for 2005 on the success measures to encourage investment by industry in research and development?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: Well, I think the latest figures for business R&D were frankly a disappointment. Although the real value of business R&D is still 20 per cent higher than in 1997, it has not grown as fast as the economy. The fall in business R&D in 2004 was due to a six per cent reduction in overseas-funded R&D, whereas R&D from UK-owned business increased. The pattern, although the central level is mixed, aerospace R&D increased significantly, whereas R&D fell substantially in the automotive and computer sectors. The volatility of figures means we should not read too much into single year figures but we need to continue our efforts to create the conditions for investment in R&D and business success. This includes using UK trade and investment to market the UK as a location for high value activities including R&D.

Chairman: Thank you very much.

Q66 Margaret Moran: Good morning, Lord Sainsbury. That is rather in contradiction of what you told this Committee at the last meeting, in so far as you were saying that you felt at that stage that investment in R&D as a proportion of GDP had bottomed out and was beginning to grow. What do you think are the main factors as to why that has changed? Do you think the measures we have in place at the moment, which you described to the last Committee, are sufficient to reach the target for industry investment in R&D that the Government have set?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: As I said, I think it is a disappointment. We have had two to three years where it has been going up; it appeared to have bottomed out and to be going up; and we have had a situation where it has fallen back. Clearly there is a changed situation and that is a disappointment. I think it is important to realise where it has come. It has come in the foreign investment in R&D, and it mainly appears to be in the area of pharmaceuticals. I think we need to do more work to see whether there are any special conditions applying in this area. There is a general sense that pharmaceutical companies the world over have been diversifying their research portfolios around the world. Practically no pharmaceutical company does all its research in its home country. I think we need to do more work on this field.

Q67 Margaret Moran: Do you think generally a change in approach is needed by the Government now we are seeing this decline, or do you think this is part of a cycle? What discussions are going on to tackle this with the DTI and the Treasury?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think one needs to say that number of the measures we have taken to encourage R&D have probably not yet fully come through. We have had the R&D tax credits and of course we are doing a lot of work with the technology strategy which I think will encourage more R&D. It is probably true that these have not yet had the time to have a full impact, but, I agree with you, we need to do more work in this area, particularly into why there has been a fall in pharmaceuticals' research, and to see whether we need to adjust any of those policies.

Q68 Mr Newmark: The one thing that particularly concerns me is the fact that these figures would be much worse and that the distorting figure is the R&D spend on, I think, defence. Defence R&D, I understand, has gone up 13 per cent in real terms. If one stripped out the extraordinary increase, perhaps, in defence R&D, the situation in UK plc in terms of our industrial base would be even worse.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I would be very interested to see where you get your figure for R&D for defence. Defence R&D as a whole has been going down. It is slightly complicated by the QinetiQ situation but I am rather surprised that it has been -----

Q69 Mr Newmark: The source is the DTI 2005 Autumn Performance Report, page 9.

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I will have a look at that. As a whole, the situation on R&D truly in defence has been going down. But I will certainly have a look at that.

Q70 Mr Flello: Good morning, Lord Sainsbury. With the rapid development taking place in China, how can the UK remain competitive in R&D against that?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I personally have been more strongly pointing out than anyone else the challenge that China and India pose to this country - and I have been doing so for many years. I think you need, however, to be rather careful about thinking that the huge growth in wealth in China, which of course is from a very low base, is fuelled by Chinese technology, because it is not at all. It is fuelled by, first of all, wage costs, which are five per cent of ours, and, secondly, by huge amounts of foreign direct investment which is, by and large, producing the technology in China which enables them to produce goods. So a lot of the, say, Japanese electronic companies are now producing in China, but that is not with Chinese technology, it is with Japanese technology. It is an extremely interesting question as to what exactly, in world competitive terms, Chinese technology and science is at. For all that, I conclude that we can stay ahead of China in terms of research in technology, but we have to move pretty fast because they will start now going up the value-added chain. They have very good scientists; they have, of course, a lot of scientists now returning from America to China, which I think will enable them to go up this curve very fast; and of course they are ruthlessly selective as far as their universities are concerned. They say, "We want to have ten world class universities," and if you start from a population of 1.25 billion students, selecting the best people to go to Tsinghua University, you will have some very good students. I think Chinese science, long term, will be extremely good, a competitive threat. As, at the moment, we are obviously way ahead of them, we need to keep moving very fast in terms of science and innovation to stay ahead.

Q71 Mr Flello: You say you have been saying for sometime about your concerns in the area. Do you think you are being listened to and that action is being taken on your words?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think now you can see that in the Chancellor's speeches, the Prime Minster's speeches, there are constant references to the threat of China, and indeed India in certain areas, and this is something we have to take enormously seriously. If you go back to the Prime Minister speech on Science Matters, you will see that even at that stage - and that is three or four years ago - he was referring to the developments in India and what was happening in Bangalore.

Q72 Mr Flello: Do you think industry is taking heed of your words?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think so, yes. I think it is a general perception. I do not think it is an original perception to me, but, yes, I think they understand very clearly that if we are going to stay ahead we have to move into high-tech added-value areas where we can compete against, as I say, a country where wages are five per cent of ours. We cannot compete in labour-intensive areas with that wage differential.

Q73 Margaret Moran: How effective do you think Research Councils are in promoting an increase in industrial R&D? To what extent is funding based on delivery of results? Secondly, on a separate subject, that of intellectual property rights, do you think that UK plc is maximising the value from intellectual property rights that it should be getting?

Lord Sainsbury of Turville: I think it is very important to be clear what we require of Research Councils. We require Research Councils to fund world class basic research. I should say that that is seen by most people in the science policy field as being an essential part of having a very vibrant high-tech economy. You do of course also need to do significant amounts of applied research, but that I think we rightly put under the technology strategy in the DTI. The difference between basic research and applied research in this context is that you do them in completely different ways in terms of both managing them and evaluating them. The Research Councils' remit is to do basic research. Each Research Council now, however, has knowledge transfer objectives, and of course schemes of knowledge transfer incentives, like HEIF3, have absolutely revolutionised the culture within universities, so we are now seeing a total change in the performance of universities in terms of knowledge transfer. Whether you look at spin-off companies, licensing, patents, you will see there has been an extraordinary change over the last five to ten years in the performance of the universities. I think we are beginning to see a real change in the situation. Just to give you one fact to show that: in the last two years, we have had 20 university spin-offs floated on the Stock Exchange. The total value of those spin-offs is £1 billion. It simply is not credible now to say we are not getting a lot of knowledge transfer from our universities. As far as intellectual property rights are concerned, we have made some quite significant changes in the mission of the Patent Office. It used to be that the Patent Office was simply there to administer the system of intellectual property rights. We have said that mission should be extended to cover the field of innovation, so they now have both an enforcement and an educational role - which I think they are rather successfully doing - and we will be asking the new Gowers' Report to look at not the efficiency of the Patent Office, which is very high, but at whether they are providing the best possible service to industry, and that is one of the other issues we will look at.

Chairman: Lord Sainsbury, as ever, the time has gone by very, very quickly. Perhaps we ought to extend it even further next time. Thank you very much indeed for joining the Committee this morning.