A leadership role for the UK?
71. The UK faces competition from a number of other
countries if it wishes to take a leading role in developing CCS
technology. As mentioned above, Norway has already taken a lead
in some areas of CCS technology. The USA has been one of the biggest
investors to date in CCS (see paragraph 59) and countries such
as Germany and Canada have also made substantial investments.
Australia has been active in this area as well and launched its
first CCS project in 2006.[112]
72. Nevertheless, much of the evidence submitted
to this inquiry suggested that the UK was well-placed to adopt
a leadership role in the development of CCS technology. The BGS
argued that "Because of its hydrocarbon infrastructure, sedimentary
basins and large point source CO2 emissions, together
with the need to modernise/replace power plants, the UK is well
placed to lead, develop and take advantage of CCS".[113]
ScottishPower put the case even more strongly, asserting that
"the UK must decide whether to be a leader or a follower
in the development of carbon abatement technologies" and
warning:
"Unless moves are taken swiftly to develop
UK-driven solutions, there will soon be greater advantage in importing
technologies, which have been developed abroad. Failure to make
progress today could preclude the UK from the manufacturing and
technology transfer benefits that could be realised from a UK-driven
initiative".[114]
George Marsh from the DTI was upbeat about the prospects
for the UK to maintain a competitive advantage internationally,
telling us:
"We still have quite a significant industry
that is capable of both designing and constructing these technologies.
If there is a major drive to reduce CO2 emissions worldwide,
we could be in a position to tap into quite a massive market.
We make the boilers that are needed; we make the steam turbines.
We have world class design capabilities for the cleaner coal technologies
so there are a lot of opportunities there".[115]
In addition, Mr Morris from the DTI explained that
the Government was developing "a technology road map which
will focus very much on UK strengths, where should we collaborate,
where do we buy in technology, to try and focus much more on where
we are strong and where we should perhaps let somebody else do
it".[116]
73. Gardiner Hill from BP emphasised that supporting
deployment and demonstration of CCS technology was critical to
maintaining the UK's competitive advantage. [117]
He argued that:
"By having these [demonstration] plants
operating in the UK, our people, our engineers and our capability
will be established and be known and be required by these other
countries [
] there is a technical aspect, but I think there
is also a skills, a jobs and a capability aspect to it".[118]
Dr Gibbins also highlighted the wider benefits that
could be derived from early demonstration of the technology in
the UK, telling us: "The UK has the opportunity to make this
technology acceptable possibly ten years earlier [than would otherwise
be the case] and that could have huge implications when the globe
is going to say, 'Okay. It does not look too bad, tackling climate
change; let's go for it'".[119]
The Royal Society echoed this sentiment, telling us: "by
showing leadership, the UK might engage with India and China in
managing their potential future emissions of carbon dioxide effectively,
to much greater global effect".[120]
Dr Gibbins flagged up a further possible advantage to early action
by the UK:
"There is an awful lot of money going to
be traded. There will have to be projects to verify and a lot
of financing for projects. A lot of that is likely to come out
of the City of London. If we can get that experience here first,
we can make some money for the UK". [121]
The UK is well positioned to take an international
leadership role in demonstrating the viability of CCS. British
leadership in the use of CCS technology will yield returns from
domestic carbon reduction and also provide a strong indication
to other major polluters of the potential of CCS to reduce global
emissions.
EXPORT OPPORTUNITIES
74. There was a consensus amongst the witnesses from
industry that opportunities that did arise for UK companies would
be in terms of knowledge and licensing since countries such as
India and China were likely to manufacture the technology themselves.
Colin Scoins, Head of New Business at E.ON UK, said: "I think
we could expect to sell the knowledge. I think ultimately we will
find that China and India will build their own equipment very
quickly".[122]
We agree with this assessment. Export opportunities for UK
companies are likely to derive from intellectual property and
licensing of CCS technology.
75. That said, it may be in the UK's interests to
ensure that China and India have access to any relevant intellectual
property and the Chinese Government is reported as saying it expects
developed nations to pay for the costs of developing carbon abatement
technologies.[123]
Cambridge Environmental Initiative supported this stance, telling
us: "China and India have a strong moral case for suggesting
that developed countries must pay for the development of clean
fuel technologies".[124]
This should be taken into account when considering the scope for
opportunities for UK companies to export CCS technology.
76. Many witnesses drew attention to the fact that
although the UK had significant skills and expertise of relevance
to CCS, UK companies would not be well placed to tap into the
export market until more headway had been made in demonstrating
CCS in the UK. UKCCSC commented in its memorandum that "much
of the atmospheric carbon concentration abatement benefit to the
UK from R&D on CCS is likely to arise through technologies
and practices developed and demonstrated in the UK being replicated
in other countries, particularly in connection with coal utilisation".[125]
Dr Gibbins, who leads the UKCCSC, pointed out the difficulty of
trying to sell a concept to another country which has not yet
been adopted domestically: "it is obviously hopeless, as
I am trying to do at the moment, to promote the idea of capture
ready in China when we are not doing it in the UK".[126]
77. If the UK is serious about making an impact
on China and India, the most useful thing it could do would be
to get full scale demonstrations of several different types of
CCS technology up and running domestically as soon as possible.
This would prove the viability of the technologies and give UK
companies comparative advantage in terms of experience and know
how. In the absence of such demonstrations, the idea of major
export opportunities for UK companies is unrealistic.
78. Retrofitting of plant being built in China and
India today will be essential if reductions in emissions are to
be made within the next 30-40 years. For the pulverised fuel plant
that predominates in China, post-combustion capture is the only
option. Fortunately, since the plant being built today is of higher
efficiency than the UK coal-fired power stations retrofitting
is more likely to be feasible. Rodney Allam of Air Products argued
that:
"the best thing we could do to ensure that
we had a future market in China was for us to have a large-scale
demo on a pulverised fuel power station in the UK. That would
really give us the world-leading position in terms of supply of
this technology into such a market as well as giving us the ability
to do it here in the UK".[127]
A major refurbishment of a UK coal-fired power
station combined with retrofitting of CCS technology could afford
a very valuable opportunity to demonstrate the post-combustion
capture technology required to retrofit Chinese coal-fired plant,
as well as providing useful experience of combined retrofit and
upgrade of a UK plant.
77 Ev 58 Back
78
Ev 109 Back
79
Ev 80 Back
80
Ev 137 Back
81
Q 136 Back
82
Ev 134 Back
83
Ev 138 Back
84
Ev 138 Back
85
Hydrogen power plant planned for Peterhead, Thomas Catan and Fiona
Harvey, Financial Times, 1 July 2005. Back
86
Ev 98,129 Back
87
Ev 130 Back
88
Coal begins to make its comeback from the bottom of a dark and
very deep pit, The Independent, 23 December 2005. Back
89
Ev 108 Back
90
http://www.fossil.energy.gov/programs/powersystems/futuregen/
Back
91
Qq 172-174 Back
92
HM Treasury, Britain meeting the global challenge: Enterprise,
fairness and responsibility, 2005 Pre Budget Report, 5 December
2005, p157. Back
93
Q 163 Back
94
HC Deb, 25 Feb 2005, col 888W. Back
95
Q 175 Back
96
Ev 154 Back
97
"Doing research is not like a tap you can turn on at a moment's
notice", Tony Tysome, Times Higher Educational Supplement,
6 January 2005. Back
98
Ev 186 Back
99
Science and Technology Committee, Oral evidence, Strategic
Science Provision in English Universities: follow-up, 2 November
2005, HC 576-i. Back
100
Ev 128 Back
101
Q 172 Back
102
Q 172 Back
103
The Norwegian Krone is worth approximately 0.09 Pounds Sterling. Back
104
Ev 75 Back
105
Ev 182 Back
106
Ev 194 Back
107
Ev 194 Back
108
Q 267 Back
109
Ev 183 Back
110
Q 169 Back
111
Q 169 Back
112
www.co2crc.com.au Back
113
Ev 70 Back
114
Ev 107 Back
115
Q 53 Back
116
Q 53 Back
117
Q 174 Back
118
Q 175 Back
119
Q 96 Back
120
Ev 132 Back
121
Q 96 Back
122
Q 168 Back
123
E.g. UK, "China in cleaner power plan", Roger Harrabin,
BBC News, 1 September 2005. Back
124
Ev 168 Back
125
Ev 146 Back
126
Q 72 Back
127
Q 168 Back