Select Committee on Northern Ireland Affairs Eighth Report


2  Airport Issues

13. The White Paper set out the estimated forecast demand for the Belfast airports suggesting that Belfast City Airport would handle some 4 million passengers a year and Belfast International some 8-9 million by 2030.[14] Belfast International Airport expressed concern that these did not match up with earlier forecasts made by the Department of Environment, Transport and the Regions in 2000[15] which concluded that "Belfast City Airport, with planning constraints, would be about 2.2 million people, … and Belfast International could grow to just under 10 million".[16]

14. The forecast in the White Paper relating to Belfast City Airport appears to be based on an assumption of a relaxation of the Planning Agreement, and to reflect the changes that had taken place in the Northern Ireland air transport market since 2000; in particular, that the annual average growth at Belfast City was 13% and at Belfast International 8.5%.[17] By 2004 passenger numbers using Belfast City Airport had exceeded 2 million. We were conscious of the importance of any forecast not remaining static and of the need to review it in the light of prevailing or changing circumstances, and we believe there are reasonable grounds for expecting the actual outcome in 2030 to be different from the forecasts made in both 2000 and 2003.

15. Questions were raised about the extent to which the two Belfast airports are in either in direct competition or complement each other; whether Belfast should be served by only one airport and whether there would be any benefits from the two airports coming under common ownership. Belfast City concentrates on so-called 'full service airlines' which have as their principal market the business traveller whereas for Belfast International the main engine for growth has been, and is likely to continue to be, the so called low-cost or no-frills sector which has as its principal focus the leisure sector.[18]

16. It was argued for Belfast International Airport that Northern Ireland would gain economies of scale and other advantages if it had a single airport but accepted that "Belfast City Airport is a fact of life; …. it is there, it is an asset, it should be used for benefit of Northern Ireland PLC."[19] So far as Belfast City Airport was concerned, the question of a single airport for Northern Ireland was "purely academic, as the two Belfast airports are both privately owned profitable businesses".[20] The General Consumer Council believed that "competition does exist between the two Belfast airports and … we support the retention of two airports in the Belfast catchment area".[21]

17. Economies of scale could be achieved if both airports were in common ownership, but it was accepted that at present this was a hypothetical question.[22] The Department for Transport reminded us that "the Monopolies and Mergers Commission Report found that a 1995 offer by Belfast International to acquire Belfast City was against the public interest", but agreed that "the issue could conceivably arise again in future years."[23] The Minister reassured us that should such a situation arise then, public interest issues would have to be considered and it would be for the Office of Fair Trading to make a decision.[24]

BELFAST CITY AIRPORT

18. The scale of operations at Belfast City Airport is restricted by a planning agreement made in 1997 which placed limitations on: the hours of operation (0630-2130), the annual number of aircraft movements (45,000), and the number of departing seats sold (1.5 million - equivalent to some 2.0-2.2 million passengers). Given the growth over the 2000-2004 period, which averaged 13%, the limit on the number of seats sold is now a binding constraint.[25] The White Paper "invited the Northern Ireland Authorities to review the form of the planning agreement if and when they are so requested by the airport operator".[26] Such a request was made in August 2004, and in November 2004 a public consultation process was launched.[27]

19. Residents who live close to Belfast City Airport made strong representations to us about the potential impact on the environment of any increase in airport activity, particularly in relation to noise and the use of larger aircraft, and also safety concerns.[28] They called for the airport to "accept that it can only have very limited growth (if any)".[29] Belfast City Airport told us that it "could achieve the required growth within the current operating hours and within the current permitted Air Transport Movements of 45,000 per annum." Rather it was "seeking to remove the current restriction on 'seats for sale' which relates to the capacity of the old terminal building, and has therefore no relevance to the new facilities which opened in June 2001."[30] The Department for Transport accepted that such decisions were a matter for the Northern Ireland Departments, but suggested that "the normal way of doing that would be through a limit on air transport movements, coupled with a noise contour limit set on the basis of the aircraft using the airport. A 'seats for sale' thing is a little bit unusual".[31] The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) commented that it was "unsure what purpose is served by having both a cap on seats offered and a limit on total movements" and described the former as "an odd restriction".[32]

20. The Kinnegar Resident's Action Group expressed concerns that "the noise climate is only being estimated using computer simulations" and that this is only effective "if there is secondary radar to plot actual aircraft flight paths and heights together with ground monitoring equipment".[33] Belfast City Airport, which meets quarterly with local residents through an airports forum, told us that "active noise monitoring, both on the airfield and off the airfield" takes place regularly to validate the computer modelling, and "is due to be done again within the next few weeks".[34] The Airport also indicated that it plans to replace its primary radar and "would consider moving towards secondary radar".[35] We fully recognise the environmental concerns of local residents who live near Belfast City Airport and we welcome the very positive efforts of Airport management who reassured us that "we are trying to work closely with the community around us".[36]

21. Belfast City Airport believes it has a "niche role within Northern Ireland"[37] with a rate of growth in the range of 3-5% in prospect if the seat for sale limitation was lifted.[38] Whilst the current focus is on services to Great Britain it is clear that the airport has ambitions to serve some continental European business centres, such as Amsterdam, Brussels, Frankfurt or Paris, although to do this would require the addition of starter strips to the runway.[39] Unsurprisingly, Belfast International Airport was opposed to any change in the planning agreement, and stated that "we consider that further development would be harmful to the overall prospects for Northern Ireland".[40] However, there is strong support across a broad front for the airport to continue to grow, "Further expansion of Belfast City Airport is a vital component to the growth of domestic air travel. The proximity of the airport to the centre of Belfast is a huge selling point for travellers within the United Kingdom".[41]

22. An application to review the current Planning Agreement at the Belfast City Airport is with the Department of the Environment for decision. We also understand that leave has been granted to Belfast International Airport to seek a judicial review of the application. Whist it would be inappropriate for us to recommend a particular course of action on the issue, we believe that a 'seats for sale' restriction is not a valid or suitable way to manage the environmental impact of airport activity. We urge the Minister for the Environment to ensure that a decision is forthcoming as quickly as possible.

BELFAST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

23. Belfast International Airport is recognised as the principal growth airport for Northern Ireland and has been the centre for the growth of low-cost or 'no-frills' airlines. The airport has also been a significant beneficiary of support from the Route Development Fund.

24. The representatives of Belfast International Airport, with plans to invest £40 million over the next five years to upgrade and develop facilities, argued consistently that growth should only occur there, and that growth at the other Northern Ireland airports would damage their competitive position.[42] However, we consider that competition between airports is increasingly a feature of the operating environment across Europe to attract and retain airlines.[43] Low-cost or no-frills airlines tend to display a high propensity to transfer a service if it is not profitable or if there is a better offer of financial support available elsewhere. The importance of revenue derived from charges to airlines at Belfast International has declined sharply in relative terms over the recent past thus increasing the importance of passenger spending at the airport.[44]

25. Several witnesses expressed concern at what they saw as an increasing dependence on airlines in this segment to provide services to and from Northern Ireland: "Aircraft are very mobile assets and routes can be easily opened/closed to take advantage of more economic returns; Northern Ireland will remain exposed to this".[45] It appears that the dependence of Belfast International Airport on low-cost or no-frills airlines has increased its need for greater passenger volume and the associated retail and related spending. This is a situation that is brought into greater focus against the background of the airport's planned substantial capital expenditure programme.

26. Dublin airport remains the principal competitor to Belfast International; "close to home we are competing very directly with Dublin".[46] Although the new route openings should increase the relative competitive position of Belfast International, passengers to or from Northern Ireland may still find travelling via Dublin a more attractive and cost effective option on these routes.[47] We fully recognise that there is a limit to the number of destinations currently served from Dublin that may be able to be offered from Belfast irrespective of support from the Route Development Fund. A number of witnesses suggested that if a destination was served three times a day from Dublin there may be enough traffic to support a once-a-day service from Belfast.[48]

CITY OF DERRY AIRPORT

27. The City of Derry Airport plays an important role for the Northwest of the island of Ireland[49] and is regarded by the Londonderry Chamber of Commerce as "an important tool in the drive to improve social and economic conditions" in the area.[50] Whilst there appears to be no recent data to quantify the number of travellers from the Republic using the airport, its importance to the region is widely recognised. The Department for Regional Development told us that "The Republic of Ireland has a strategic interest in the continuing operation and potential development of the City of Derry Airport",[51] a view that was echoed by Inter-trade Ireland.[52] Indeed, the Irish Government, which supports the service between the City of Derry and Dublin through a Public Service Obligation (PSO),[53] also jointly funded an expansion of the airport in 1998.[54]

28. Despite recording the most rapid growth of any airport in Northern Ireland during 2004 with an increase of some 15.5% in passenger numbers compared with 2003, City of Derry with just under 0.25 million passengers was still approximately one twentieth of the size of Belfast International. It is also well below the 1.0-1.5 million passengers which are generally regarded as the minimum throughput at which an airport is likely to be profitable.[55]

29. The Londonderry Chamber of Commerce emphasised that "one of the difficulties of chasing further expansion is that there are constraints which block the future development of the airport".[56] A bid for substantial public funding to extend the runway and develop the airport terminal is currently being considered by the two Governments. The Minister told us "We are hopeful of trying to get a decision in the not too distant future".[57] The Council argued that the extension was necessary to meet new international requirements for safety zones at each end of the runway, and they saw this as "affecting [their] ability to attract new operators and expand current routes particularly in the low cost sector".[58]

30. The Stop Eglinton Airport Evictions Group questioned the need for the extension to the runway, not least due to the impact that it would have on their homes. They argued that an alternative and more practical direction for the runway was feasible, which would remove the need for some of their Group to have to move house.[59] However, the views expressed by this group appeared not to be universally held by all the residents affected directly.[60]

31. The airport operates at a deficit and in the last financial year reported a loss of £1.3 million which continues to be borne by the ratepayers of Derry City Council.[61] The Council and City of Derry Airport are making strenuous efforts to reduce this deficit and pointed out that £0.6 million of this relates to repayment of Government capital loans taken out some time ago at exceptionally high fixed rates of interest.[62] We urge the Minister for Regional Development to consider what action can be taken to reduce the financial burden of the City of Derry Airport deficit on the ratepayers in the Derry City Council area, such as refinancing the loans or rescheduling payments.

32. The targets set within the future development plan for the airport, which under option 2 suggested passenger volumes of 0.83 million by 2010, appear to be heavily dependent upon the establishment of additional services by Ryanair.[63] The analysis also appears to rely heavily on assumptions in terms of route developments and load factors, which seem more appropriate to the experience at Stansted and a number of witnesses questioned their validity.[64]

33. At the start of the 2004/05 winter timetable, Ryanair reduced its frequency to Stansted from two to one a day. More recently, the airline, although introducing its new and larger Boeing 737-800 onto the route, has restricted the number of seats that can be used to remain within safety margins,[65] and this results in the airline encountering a financial penalty.[66] Ryanair's management informally indicated to us that unless there were tangible signs of the extension programme going ahead in the very near term then the remaining service that they operated was likely to cease. Conversely they also indicated that if the extension was to take place then there was a real prospect of them operating a range of services from their other bases to the City of Derry and they considered that this would result in a boost to inward tourism.

34. Belfast International Airport argued that if the development of City of Derry was "allowed to proceed with grant assistance, this expansion could harm the development of Belfast International Airport, lead to passenger displacement and involve the wholly inappropriate use of public funds".[67] We fully understand the importance of City of Derry Airport for the North West region and we recognise that its future rests on its ability to develop and expand to attract new services. We therefore wholeheartedly welcome the decision in principle by the two Governments to provide £10 million for development[68] and urge the Minister for Regional Development to ensure that the outstanding conditions are addressed as quickly as possible.

35. The management of City of Derry Airport called for the Airports Act 1986 to be extended to Northern Ireland to enable the setting up of a public airport company to run the airport.[69] The Department confirmed that this "is one of the options that will be looked at as part of the review of governance arrangements" but consideration seemed to be at an early stage.[70] We call on the Minister for Regional Development to undertake the review of governance of the City of Derry Airport as a matter of urgency.


14   The Future of Air Transport, Department for Transport, December 2003, Cm 6046, Chapter 7 Back

15   The Future Development of Air Transport in the United Kingdom: Northern Ireland, A National Consultation, Department for Transport, August 2002 p. 50 Back

16   Q 374 Back

17   Ev 17 Back

18   Ev 168 Back

19   Q 374 Back

20   Ev 91 Back

21   Q 111 Back

22   Q 381 Back

23   Ev 113 Back

24   Q 413 Back

25   Q 290 Back

26   The Future of Air Transport, Department for Transport, December 2003, Cm 6046, Ch7.9 Back

27   Planning Belfast City Airport Future, News Release, DoE, 19 November 2004; The management of Belfast International Airport were granted leave to apply for a judicial review of the process in February 2005 Back

28   Ev 24-28 Back

29   Ev 26 Back

30   Ev 91 Back

31   Q 365 Back

32   Ev 7; Q 4 Back

33   Ev 27 Back

34   Qq 294, 297 Back

35   Q 296 Back

36   Q 293 Back

37   Q 290 Back

38   Ev 91 Back

39   Q 304 Back

40   Q 383 Back

41   Ev 152 Back

42   Qq 375, 395 Back

43   Q 387 Back

44   Q 398 Back

45   Ev 104; Ev 155 Back

46   Q 387 Back

47   Ev 105 Back

48   Q 308 Back

49   Q 418 Back

50   Ev 45 Back

51   Ev 145 Back

52   Ev 162 Back

53   A Public Service Obligation (PSO) is a mechanism provided for in European legislation permitting governments to provide financial support for a route that is considered to be of fundamental importance for a region Back

54   Ev 145 Back

55   Official Journal of the European Communities, L 137; 30th April 2004, para 292 Back

56   Q 126 Back

57   Q 421 Back

58   Ev 63 Back

59   Ev 51 Back

60   Ev 163 Back

61   Q 171 Back

62   Qq 171-175 Back

63   Derry City Council Economic Appraisal of City of Derry Airport, Executive Summary, PriceWaterhouseCoopers, January 2004; The appraisal considered four options: Option 1 - Status quo,Option 2 - Redevelop airport runway and facilities in 2004, Option 3 - Redevelop airport runway and facilities in two phases, Option 4 - Close the airport. Back

64   Q 152 inter al Back

65   Airline to introduce bigger planes, Irish News, 19 January 2005 Back

66   Informal discussion with Ryanair, Dublin, 24 January 2005 Back

67   Ev 128 Back

68   Two Governments announce decision in principle to provide £10 million for City of Derry Airport, News Release, Department for Regional Development, 24 March 2005 Back

69   Q 175 Back

70   Q 425 Back


 
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