APPENDIX 7
Memorandum submitted by Scientists for
Global Responsibility (8 January 2003)
WHY MISSILE DEFENCE (MD) DOESN'T MAKE SENSE
AND IS A BAD IDEA
WASTE OF
MONEY
The cost of MD for the US is likely to be as
much as $200 billion (costs for the UK are as yet unclear)this
is not the best use of material or financial resources at a time
when more pressing world problems are mounting. If a similar level
of resources was devoted to for example combating world poverty,
disease or health care or environmental protection the effects
upon world security in terms of combating the reasons for conflict
would be far higher.
POOR VALUE
FOR MONEY
MD is very poor value for moneydefence
is much more costly than offense. Any attacker who is capable
of sending long range missiles can easily afford to spend a little
more on cheap countermeasures against MD. As it is at least two
MD anti missiles are planned for each attacking warhead or decoy.
Thus even a full scale MD system could only defend against 50
or so missiles.
USELESS AGAINST
MUCH MORE
CREDIBLE (AND
CHEAPER) THREATS
MD cannot defend against much more credibleand
much much cheaper threatsie non-missile threats or terrorist
threats. For example a nuclear, biological or chemical weapon
inside a plane masquerading as a passenger plane, a weapon in
a boat offshore or in a busy port, a weapon constructed inside
a city by parts smuggled in or stolen from within the target country.
DOESN'T
ACTUALLY STOP
NUCLEAR MISSILES
The results of an MD success would mean a rain
of nuclear material either over the launch area or over the target
country as the warhead burns up on re-entry into the atmosphere
or over the launch area. Evacuation of such areas would be necessary
in any case. MD would thus still leave widespread contamination
of large areas.
DESTABILISING
Spending upon MD will in the long run further
destabilise the already weak US economy and levels of debt undermining
world economic and financial security. The US already owes more
to the world banking system than most of the extremely poor heavily
indebted countries put together. Yet the US has borrowed this
money on an interest rate far lower and favourable than these
poor countries.
MD if implemented will pressure other major
nuclear states such as China to spend more on anti ballistic missile
countermeasures. Some analysts think that trying to pressurise
China is one of the underlying motivations for MD.
UNDERMINES INTERNATIONAL
TREATIES
MD undermines the ballistic missile treaty and
some elements such as the space based laser the ban on weapons
in space. The ABM Treaty has already been dissolved as a result
of the Bush Administrations insistence upon developing MDthe
UK MoD (Ministry of Defence) argue that the that this has not
had any negative effects as the ABM Treaty was no longer relevant
in today's geopolitics. Undermining international treaties is
regrettable as many of today's problems are global and require
world-wide co-operation (for example to control greenhouse gas
emissions under the Kyoto Protocol).
UNDERMINES DETERRENCE
MD undermines deterrence. Whether or not one
felt reassured by the idea that we are all supposedly safer for
all being able to obliterate each other's countries (as in the
Cold War) the whole idea of MD is to undermine some smaller countries
to "deter". This is a double standard. It is saying
that it is OK for some countries to have huge nuclear arsenals
while it is not OK for some other countries to have even small
amounts of destructive weapons. However it is certainly the case
that having MD could make the threat of first nuclear use by the
US against a small country much more credible. In this situation
MD would increase the likelihood of nuclear use.
A DANGEROUS DISTRACTION
IN A
DANGEROUS WORLD
MD draws attention away from the need for political
solutions to urgent world problems and suggests that complex technical
fixes can substitute for real political solutions to conflictfor
example in Palestine, for the Kurdish peoples, in Burma, Indonesia
and in many other urgent and serious examples. The idea of MD
is to deny smaller countries (so called rogue states) the ability
to protect their state interests by the same means. NMD effectively
significantly raises the stakes for entry to the exclusive "nuclear
club". It is no accident that the permanent members of the
UN Security Council are the nuclear states who are also bound
legally to reduce their nuclear weapons and disarm.
UNLIKELY TO
WORK
The US has been trying to develop a missile
defence system of some sort since the Second World Wareach
programme (including the latest attemptReagan's SDI in
the 80s) has failed. Tests of the current technology have been
very patchy. Will it all just be another costly failure?
WHY DOES
MD PERHAPS MAKE
SENSE FOR
THE BUSH
ADMINISTRATION?
Jobs for Bush's election financers
MD provides a market for expensive new military
technology and new science, providing jobs and rewarding key corporate
supporters of President Bush's Presidential candidacy. MD thus
has a very powerful political lobby and vested interest behind
it.
Supports the necessary levels of fear to keep
military spending high
It creates a continuing threat and helps politically
justify US military supremacy over a world with only one remaining
superpower.
WHY IS
MD A BAD
IDEA FOR
AMERICA'S
ALLIES?
Why support a bad idea?
If one accepts the arguments that MD is flawed
in its conceptthen as an Ally of the US it would be better
to tell the US Administration this rather than going along with
their plans.
MD cannot protect Europe
The difficulties in protecting the US through
NMD are even more extreme for European countries. The simple reason
for this is that most European countries are much nearer or in
the case of Turkey almost bordering some of the countries the
US deem to be of concern such as Iran, Iraq and Libya.
Allies Europe with bad and dangerous foreign policy
By supporting the current US administration
policy, Europe is making itself a target for anti US factions
which can include actual physical threats to the UK.
Distorts European foreign policy towards US military
supremacy and dominance
Europe, particularly with its pluralistic nature,
should act as a block to ideas of US military and political dominance
of the world and support more inclusive and democratic approaches
based upon use of the United Nations.
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