Implications for competition and
the future of the naval bases and dockyards
44. When, a year ago, the Secretary of State wrote
to the Committee Chairman,[89]
he stated that "a key objective of our strategy is to maximise
competition in the warship repair market, thereby encouraging
the existing companies to improve productivity". Mr Coles
told us that refit competition will indeed increase under the
prospective contracts, to 93% by 2005-06.[90]
But this does not address the already planned underlying tapering-off
of the allocated refit programmes. We therefore obtained from
the MoD details of the position on surface ship refit competition[91]
with the MoD proceeding with the warship support modernisation
initiative, and on the basis that it would not do so (see Tables
below). We established that, overall, introducing the warship
support modernisation initiative will by 2005-06 increase the
estimated percentage of refit work exposed to competition by a
half 93% rather than 61% .[92]
Extent of warship refit competition
| | 2002-03
| 2003-04 | 2004-05
| 2005-06 |
Assuming the
WSMI proceeded: | 53%
| 51% | 69%
| 93% |
Assuming the
WSMI did not proceed: |
52% | 44%
| 41% | 61%
|
A tapering-off of allocated warship maintenance programmes
| | Prior to the Initiative
| Under the WSMI |
| Devonport |
- Allocated upkeep programme to end in 2001-02.
- All docking periods allocated.
|
- Last allocated upkeep in 2002-03.
- Docking periods to be competed after 2002-03.
|
| Rosyth |
- Major warship/escort upkeep programme allocated to end in 2004-05.
- Minor warship repair periods allocated until 2007-08.
|
- Allocated work to end in 2004-05.
- Allocated work to end in 2004-05.
|
| Portsmouth |
- Docking periods allocated.
- No Repair period work allocated.
|
- Allocated work to end in 2004-05.
- No repair period work allocated.
|
45. We explored whether the efficiencies, from competition or
otherwise, would be more likely to affect the dockyards or the
naval bases, and to what extent the MoD will be able or willing
to influence where the results of any rationalisations might fall.
46. As regards the dockyards, we explored how competition might
affect the longer term viability of some of the current yards,
including whether the trend towards contracting warship procurement
in a way that subsumes in-service support and maintenance could
take refit work away even from all of the three naval dockyards.
The MoD told us that in practice it would not want to agree to
proposals that would jeopardise stable base-porting for ships'
crews.[93] As CDP put
it
... the navy wants the ships to spend their time in harbour
in naval bases. ...If we think that we are going to encourage
people to serve in ships if they are sent off somewhere different
from their home port for most of their maintenance, then that
to me is the road to ruin and we have to be very, very careful
before we do it ... My guess is it will continue to be done at
the home port, most of it.[94]
However, we noted that the newly-contracted firms would be managing
the estates of both the dockyards and their nearby naval bases
with no apparent MoD veto on their possible estate rationalisation
plans. The Warship Support Agency's chief executive told us that
"we want output; how they deliver it is less of a concern
to us".[95] Mr Coles
asserted that the MoD's refit workload could be handled by "one
or five" dockyards, and that it would want to keep "at
least two" of the current three for warship refit competition
purposes.[96]
47. What of the naval bases? The MoD told us that the savings
in the first 5 years are roughly evenly divided between the dockyard
programme and the naval bases, but that the longer term recurring
savings are entirely attributed to the naval bases.[97]
The initiative is likely to lead to 1,000 posts being lost over
a five year period, which translates into 750 staff because some
posts are vacant.[98]
The largest element of the naval base savings is concerned with
the proposed partnering on the Clyde,[99]
where savings from the synergies of the separated sites (Faslane
and Rosyth) appear mainly to be confined to introducing "managerial
skills that are needed to be brought to the base at Faslane".[100]
If Faslane is in for a period of painful adjustment, the position
regarding the naval bases more generally seems more certain. We
were assured indeed that the MoD needs three naval bases.[101]
48. The underlying trend of reducing warships maintenance workloads
has been long and deeply entrenched. Surplus capacity has remained,
despite contractorising and then selling the dockyards, and the
major job losses that have formed their backdrop. However, in
seeking to tackle that problem one shared with warship
building, as we have seen the MoD brought two years
of still greater uncertainty as it developed its warship support
modernisation proposals. It must not be surprised if further anxieties
have developed over that time. With the contracts in place, the
MoD must now clear the air over its plans for the future of the
naval bases in the longer term, and how it expects work (and jobs)
to be divided between the dockyards and the naval bases. A start
would be a wide-ranging review by the National Audit Office to
clarify and report to the House on the way the initiative was
developed and managed by the MoD, the value for money of the new
arrangements and on whether the approach now followed is an appropriate
response to the challenge of managing surplus warship repair capacity.
49. The Secretary of State said in January 2001 that the improvements
in competition and productivity from the initiative "should
maintain the commercial viability of the companies against a reducing
volume of warship repair. Withdrawal from the market by any of
the existing players would be detrimental to competition and could
jeopardise MoD achieving value for money in the longer term."[102]
Looking to the future, however, there remains much uncertainty
for the naval bases and dockyards, and their workforces. And the
MoD will still be the party most able to influence how events
are played out; a role which it must exercise with the same responsibility
as it had before it contractorised the management of the naval
bases. The MoD will remain in the driving seat, particularly in
terms of the future of the naval bases. It considers that
its recent decisions on the base-porting of future warshipsPortsmouth
for the Future Carriers and Type-45s, Devonport for amphibious
assault vessels and the helicopter carrier, and Clyde for the
Astute submarineswill provide a continuing need for all
three bases.[103]
The output-focussed contracts with the new commercial managers
will prompt efficiency initiatives, however, that might place
the longer term viability of some dockyards in greater
doubt. Despite the caveats of the Minister and his officials,
we noted that they were prepared to accept that ultimately market
forces would sort out over-capacity in the dockyards.[104]
Market forces should not however be the only determinant. The
MoD will need to ensure that it monitors the contractors' performance
and its effect on the service provided to the Fleet, and that
it is able to safeguard essential facilities at the bases and
Rosyth Dockyard. We believe that all major planned refit
and maintenance work must be undertaken in the UK.
58