LETTER FROM THE GOVERNOR OF THE BANK OF ENGLAND TO THE CHAIRMAN OF THE COMMITTEE
I have just read The House of Commons Treasury Select
Committee First Report on the Office for National Statistics,
and there are three points to which I would like to draw your
attention.
First, the report discusses the communication between
the Bank, the Treasury and the ONS in the period leading up to
the publication of the rebased earnings data on 14 October. It
states that the Committee is "dismayed
that the Bank, the ONS and the Treasury were all aware of the
programme of work which had been in train for many months yet
concerns over the figures were only raised the day before publication"
(paragraph 27).
We had of course been aware for some months that
new weights would be used to aggregate the data collected across
industries and different sizes of firm from October. However,
the ONS were clear that their own analysts would not be able to
predict the effects of the changes until very close to publication.
We were therefore unable to raise any concerns until we saw the
rebased data 36 hours prior to publication, in line with their
code of practice.
Second, the Committee appears to misunderstand the
structure of the review set up by the Chancellor after consultation
with myself. Sir Andrew Turnbull and Mervyn King were asked by
the Chancellor to conduct the inquiry reporting to him. They,
in turn, asked Martin Weale, an independent expert in economic
statistics, to carry out an investigation, supported by Peter
Sedgwick, a senior Treasury official, who were asked to cover
methodological and managerial issues. It is not clear to me that
there is anything inappropriate about this structure or Mervyn
King's
position. (The Committee "remained
to be convinced that it was wise for . . . Mr King to be involved
in reviewing managerial issues in the ONS"
(paragraph 25).)
Finally, the report says: "We
are aware that Mervyn King has not yet attended any meetings of
the Statistics Advisory Committee (SAC) of which he is a member"
(paragraph 27). This is in fact true but I am not clear as to
its relevance. The Statistics Advisory Committee is not concerned
with operational matters, such as the rebasing of the average
earnings index, or the management of the ONS. Mervyn wished to
resign from this committee a year ago, because its meetings regularly
clashed with other commitments. However, Tim Holt, after consultation
with the Chancellor, asked Mervyn to stay on the committee in
order to contribute by reading and commenting on the committee
papers.
17 December 1998
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