Select Committee on Health Third Report


FUTURE NHS STAFFING REQUIREMENTS

Introduction

1. The NHS is in the midst of a staffing crisis. One academic has described nursing shortages[1] as being of a cyclical nature, but this particular shortage appears to be much worse than those of the past. Most groups of staff are in short supply.

2. In 1997 and 1998 the Department of Health (DoH) introduced a number of policy initiatives and proposals intended to modernise the NHS, improve standards for patients and tackle perceived staffing difficulties.[2] Following the 1998 Comprehensive Spending Review the NHS in England was allocated an extra £18 billion over the ensuing three years. This figure included £50 million devoted to tackling nursing shortages in the NHS. The written evidence we received described serious staffing problems faced by the NHS, but gave broad support to the Government's approach to dealing with them.

3. The Government's plans for the NHS are ambitious and comprehensive. But we felt it important, particularly in the light of current serious staff shortages and the factors underlying them, to test the robustness of the staffing projections underpinning the proposed reforms. UNISON suggested that whilst the Government intended to create 15,000 more posts and 6-7,000 more training places for nurses, and to increase the annual intake of medical students by 1,000 these measures would not alleviate understaffing since they would be:

    "Largely consumed by the expansion in NHS services also announced in the [Comprehensive Spending] Review, and will take some time to feed through."[3]

4. There is also a worrying uncertainty surrounding the ability of the NHS to recruit the increased numbers of nurses and trainee nurses currently proposed by the Government. The Director of Human Resources at the National Health Service Executive (NHSE): felt that, the recruitment of more doctors would be relatively straightforward, but increasing the overall number of nurses in the NHS by up to 15,000 over three years represented a "substantial task".[4]

5. We decided to undertake this inquiry with a view to testing the staffing assumptions being made, assessing recruitment and retention strategies and where necessary making recommendations designed to help the Government to fulfill its intentions.

6. During the course of our investigation we received over 100 memoranda. These attributed staffing problems in the NHS to poor conditions of service, poor career structures, low morale, low status, heavy workloads, a lack of employment security, stress, bad management, the absence of flexible, family-friendly working conditions, violence and harassment and - most insistently - inadequate pay. In a memorandum to us a nurse explained why, after 19 years service, she was leaving the NHS. She cited "all the changes", "harder work loads", "more demanding patients and employers", and "of course poor pay" as her main reasons for going and concluded:

    "I will be sad to leave but feel that for my future financial and professional well being the NHS is not a healthy place to be."[5]

7. Our programme of oral evidence included contributions from DoH officials, the Chairman of the Medical Workforce Standing Advisory Committee, staff representative groups, the NHS Confederation, representatives of local education consortia, and the Secretary of State for Health. A list of all those who gave written and oral evidence is on pages iv to x.

8. We felt it was important to speak face to face with NHS personnel in order to establish the opinions of workers at grass-root level. We visited Darlington, Birmingham and the Royal London Hospital where we were able to listen to the views of a wide cross-section of staff. We also met informally a group of junior doctors from around the country. These were informative and revealing exercises. We are grateful to all those who participated.

9. To support our work we appointed three Specialist Advisers. We wish to place on record our thanks to Dr Graham Buckley, Executive Director, Scottish Council for Post Graduate Medical and Dental Education, Lois Crooke, Director, Wolfson Institute of Health Sciences, Thames Valley University and Patricia Oakley, Director, Practices Made Perfect Ltd, for their invaluable help.

10. We wanted our investigation to be wide-ranging and inclusive. We have talked directly to, or with representatives of, most categories of staff working within the NHS. At the start of the inquiry we recognised that the issue of NHS dentists was distinct and would require a separate study. We note from the DoH memorandum that:

    "The Department of Health is proposing to undertake a literature review on dental manpower issues and will be undertaking a dental career intentions review. These reviews will inform the basis for submitting recommendations on the dental workforce for the future."[6]

We await the outcome of these reviews with interest.

The Government's Plans

.

11. The Government has committed itself to reforming the NHS. Developments in primary care, notably the creation of Primary Care Groups (PCGs), Health Improvement Programmes (HimPs), Health Action Zones, NHS Direct, National Service Frameworks and Clinical Governance will have a considerable impact on the role of staff and the numbers involved; so too will the pressure to reduce waiting lists.

12. The implications for the NHS of the New Deal for junior doctors and the EU Working Time Directive[7] will also have to be properly monitored and accurately assessed. MSF told us that the impact of the Working Time Directive on laboratory staff could "make the difference in some places between the Service working properly and it seriously not working properly".[8] The British Medical Association (BMA) estimated that 4,000 extra consultants would be needed to implement the Calman changes (which improved training programmes for junior doctors and created a unified training grade) and New Deal reforms, aimed at reducing the hours worked by junior doctors. This expansion in consultants has not occurred so far. The BMA also argued that the Working Time Directive and general social change would render long working hours "increasing unacceptable".[9] Mr Nigel Turner of the NHS Confederation believed that there was need for forward planning to overcome the impact of a reduction in junior doctors' hours.[10] Some nursing staff we met spoke of the extra work, and consequent additional pressure, that devolved to them as a result of the change in junior doctors' hours. This same point was made in respect of the professions allied to medicine (see paragraph 87 below). It was also suggested to us that shortage of nurses could impact on the tasks performed by junior doctors.

13. Details of the Government's plans can be found in the policy documents and consultation papers already listed; a summary of the Government's objectives is included in the memorandum from DoH.[11] We accept that the Government has shown itself to be aware of the problems facing the NHS and has indicated its intention to overcome them. All the areas of concern to staff outlined in paragraph 6 above are familiar to Government and we acknowledge the DoH's desire to bring about substantial improvements. We recognise that many of the staffing problems currently besetting the NHS are long-standing; it is partly because of the failure of successive Governments to tackle them that they have now become serious to the extent that the quality of healthcare provision is at risk.

14. Staff representative groups were generally supportive of the Government's approach. Mr Bob Abberley of UNISON said:

    "The Government I think, in the whole range of areas - new pay system, new human resource management strategy, looking at staff involvement, looking at family-friendly policies - is saying almost all the right things."

He added the caveat that it would not be easy to implement such "good intentions" in the hospital ward.[12]

15. We too generally welcome the Government's policy goals for the NHS in relation to staffing. But we believe that these policies may be undermined by the Government underestimating the number of staff needed to achieve its targets. The NHS Confederation argued:

    "Policies like the implementation of Calman for junior doctors, or the implications of Health Improvement Programmes of greater emphasis on mental health, cancer and heart patients have not been translated into the need for specialist resources."[13]

This point was reiterated during oral evidence.[14]

   16. The Director of Human Resources at the NHS Executive (NHSE) frankly accepted that a problem existed with current staff calculations when he told us:

    "We need a stronger alignment in practice between policy development...and assessing the workforce implications of it...It is very easy and tempting...to develop policies which for all the best reasons are social priorities or whatever without necessarily thinking through all the workforce implications of them. That is something which we recognise we need to do better."[15]

The NHS Team

17. The NHS has always been able to rely on the loyalty and commitment of its staff. As the Director of Human Resources at NHSE noted:

Representatives of MSF and UNISON both listed reasons why people had once wanted to work for the NHS. These included job satisfaction, security of employment, responsibility for decision making and a feeling of being valued.[17] They saw these features as being undermined. During our visit to the Royal London Hospital, hospital consultants enthusiastically endorsed the importance of team work. They argued that all staff were at the front line of patient care, a sentiment we endorse. It was suggested that such esprit de corps was being eroded by declining staff loyalty to the NHS and the Service's reduced commitment to staff, trends which would be difficult to reverse. The move from consensus[18] to general management in the early 1980s, the advent of trusts and the internal market, the over-use - indeed abuse - of agency and bank nurses and the attendant lack of continuity of care is felt by those who have given evidence to us to have created a climate not conducive to overall organisational cohesion.

18. We regret the dilution of the collective ideal in the NHS. The Government's intention to increase co-operation and share best practice should prove a welcome step towards reversing this trend, along with its efforts to improve the management culture in the NHS. But we believe that much more needs to be done. In particular we feel that the Government's continued support for the Private Finance Initiative (PFI) as it currently affects the Health Service might further diminish staff morale. We will discuss the impact of the PFI more fully later in the report.


1   Your Country Needs You by James Buchan, Health Service Journal, 16 July 1998. Back

2   The Green Paper, Our Healthier Nation; The NHS White Paper, The New NHS; A First Class Service - Quality in the new NHS; The new Human Resources Framework, Working Together - Securing a quality workforce for the NHSBack

3   Ev. p104, para 32. Back

4   Q50. Back

5   Appendix 5. Back

6   Ev. p17, Annex D, para 7. Back

7   The Working Time Regulations 1998 SI No 1833, were laid before Parliament on 30 July 1998. They came into force on 1 October 1998. Back

8   Q200. Back

9   Ev. p155. Back

10   Q236. Back

11   Ev. p10. Back

12   Q177. See further the comments of the Royal College of Nurses (RCN) and Royal College of Midwives (RCM) at Q145; and those of Professions Allied to Medicines (PAMS) at Q111; see also, for example, the article by James Buchan, Your Country Needs You in Health Service Journal, 16 July 1998, which links the present nursing shortage to the reduction in the number of nurses in training in the early 1990s. Back

13   Ev. p162, para 2.10. Back

14   Q224. Back

15   Q56. Back

16   Q7. Back

17   Qq142 and 143. Back

18   Consensus management was a triumvirate of views between the administration, the head of the medical divisions, and the head of nursing. It was abandoned in 1983 following the Griffiths' reorganisation and replaced by general management. Back


 
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