ANNEX A4
KAZAKHSTAN
BASIC FACTS
1. Kazakhstan is geographically diverse, comprising
extensive grassland, semi-desert and mountainous areas. It is
the second largest of the former Soviet Republics and the fourth
most populous (15.6 million50 per cent Kazakh, 32 per cent
Russian, 4 per cent Ukrainian, 2 per cent German). It borders
Russia, China, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan.
2. At the end of 1997 the capital was moved
from Almaty to Astana (formerly Akmola), which is located in a
more central region of the country and has good rail connections.
Despite some reported pressure on companies to relocate to Astana,
Almaty is expected to remain the country's commercial capital
for the foreseeable future. The British and other Western Embassies
are remaining in Almaty.
INTERNAL POLITICAL
3. President Nazarbaev was elected with 98 per
cent of the vote on 1 December 1991. A referendum in April 1995
on the extension of his term of office until the year 2000 produced
a 95 per cent vote in favour. In Autumn 1998 he called Presidential
elections for January 1999, nearly two years early. The OSCE called
for a postponement, arguing that there was no time for the opposition
to prepare. The OSCE also complained about the bar on one of the
principal contenders, former Prime Minister Akezhan Kazhegeldin,
on the grounds he had participated in a meeting of the unregistered
"Movement for Honest Elections", and about media restrictions.
The elections went ahead, monitored only by an OSCE technical
team rather than a full observation mission. The OSCE's report
listed numerous flaws in the election, which President Nazarbaev
was reported to have won with 78 per cent of the vote.
4. One of the key domestic political issues
is the role of the large Russian minority, who form a majority
of the population in the north, near the Russian border. Although
predictions of serious conflict have not been fulfilled, there
are periodic complaints about discrimination and the introduction
of Kazakh as the state language.
ECONOMY
5. The Kazakh economy was developed essentially
as a raw materials appendage of the centralised Soviet economy
and produces 95 per cent of the former Soviet Union's phosphorous,
90 per cent of its chrome, 70 per cent of its lead and zinc and
50 per cent of its silver. Kazakhstan accounts for 35 per cent
of the former Soviet Union's agriculture. Kazakhstan's oil reserves
are second only to Russia in the CIS and it has substantial reserves
of gas. Although it currently produces 26 million tonnes of oil
(almost three times as much as Azerbaijan) and 6 billion cubic
meters of gas, in practice development has proceeded much more
slowly than hoped for. This is largely because of failure to make
early progress on new export pipelines, although construction
of a major export pipeline (CPC) may start in 2000. But the Kazakh
Government has pursued a consistent policy of economic reform,
including tight budgetary policy. This has included attracting
the highest per capita rate of foreign direct investment
of any former Soviet republic. Inflation has been brought down
from nearly 2,000 per cent in 1994 to 17.4 per cent in 1997.
6. The second half of 1998 saw a marked slowdown
in the Kazakh economy. A number of factors have influenced this
including the collapse of the Asian financial markets (e.g., South
Korea was a major investor), a global depression in oil prices,
economic turmoil in Russia (affecting exports to Russia and remittances
from Kazakhs working there), and a poor harvest. GDP growth in
1997 was 2 per cent, but fell by 2.5 per cent in 1998. GDP per
capita was US$1390 in 1997.
HUMAN RIGHTS
7. Although by no means the worst offender in
Central Asia, Kazakhstan's performance on human rights since independence
has been patchy with a gradual deterioration. Genuine opposition
activists are subject to harassment and freedom of the press has
been steadily restricted. There are, however, relatively active
NGOs and there has been progress in some areas, e.g., on gender
issues. As elsewhere in the region, prison conditions are well
below acceptable standards.
BILATERAL RELATIONS
8. The British Embassy in Almaty opened in October
1992. It has four UK-based staff, due to increase to six under
the Caspian enhancement programme. President Nazarbaev visited
the UK as a Guest of Government in March 1994. He also attended
the VE Day commemorations in London the following year. A Kazakh
Embassy opened in London in June 1995. There is also a Kazakh
Trading House, and an unofficial cultural centre in London. Kazakh
Foreign Minister Tokaev visited London in June 1998. HRH The Prince
of Wales visited Almaty in November 1996. Ms Quin visited in October
1998.
9. UK exports in 1998 were £95.8 million,
up 78 per cent on 1997, and imports £40.5 million, up 289
per cent. This upward trend is expected to continue as the energy
sector develops British companies are heavily involved in Kazakhstan,
especially in the oil and gas sector (BP Amoco, British Gas, Shell),
but also in construction (Fitzpatrick), security printing (De
La Rue), power generation (National Power) and the tobacco industry
(Gallagher). Five outward missions supported by the DTI will have
visited between Autumn 1997 and Autumn 1999. The annual oil and
gas sector mission has been particularly successful in gaining
high-level access for exporters. The Kazakh-British Trade and
Industry Council promotes trade and investment co-operation. ECGD
cover for Kazakhstan is under review in the light of the Russia
crisis.
10. The current Know How Fund allocation is
£1.5 million (third largest in Eastern Europe and Central
Asia). The programme focuses on environment, health, agriculture
and civil society/Democracy.
11. The British Council has a full directorate
in Kazakhstan, which also oversees their office in Bishkek. The
MOD maintains a small programme of defence co-operation including
English language training.
DRUGS
12. Kazakhstan will benefit from the Central
Asian Drugs Initiative. In addition the UK has funded bilateral
law-enforcement training and equipment for Kazakh drugs control
agencies worth £49,700 over the last six years.
ENVIRONMENT
13. DFID are supporting international efforts
to assist with Kazakhstan's two major environmental disasters:
the shrinkage of the Aral Sea due to environmental mismanagement
in the Soviet era and health problems in and around the Semipalatinsk
nuclear test range.
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