Memorandum by the British Property Federation
(IT 45)
THE INTEGRATED TRANSPORT WHITE PAPER
A. BACKGROUND AND
INTRODUCTION
The British Property Federation
1. The British Property Federation is the trade
association of the property industry in the UK. As such, it speaks
for a broad membership of companies and individuals who own, develop,
manage and invest in property. The BPF promotes the views of the
whole industry, both commercial and residential. Its membership
comprises all the major property companies and property owning
financial institutions, together with the professions serving
the property industry, giving the Federation its unique ability
to represent the views of owners of existing developments as well
as future. The property assets held by the BPF's members are in
excess of £70 billion.
The Role of Property in the Economy
2. Property plays a crucial, but frequently
overlooked role in the economy, both as an essential factor of
production and as an investment asset. The commercial property
industry provides the basic infrastructure of the economy, and
so the efficiency and competitiveness of the UK economy depends
to a significant extent on the efficiency and competitiveness
of the UK property industry. Nearly every business needs some
form of premises from which to function. The property industry
develops and holds a stock of capital-intensive assets which provide
a flow of services to the industry's customers, primarily through
bearing the risk involved in developing office, retail and industrial
buildings, which are often large and always long-lived, and then
making them available to rent in smaller units for shorter periods
to suit the individual needs of businesses. As a result, businesses
do not need to tie up scarce working capital providing themselves
with working space. As an asset class, property offers a relatively
secure investment from which rent provides a secure income, and
the physical asset can form part of the collateral against which
funds for further investment can be borrowed. London Economics
have estimated that some 9 per cent of GDP in 1994 was directly
related to the provision of commercial property. This compares
with 21 per cent for manufacturing.
3. The property industry is an active working
industry, which responds to the needs of its customers and the
opportunities in the marketplace in order to offer a modern, efficient
space in which the country lives, works and plays. As such, it
is making a vital contribution to the realisation of a wide range
of Government policies, including recycling previously-used land,
creating opportunities for employment, enhancing national competitiveness,
promoting sustainable development, ensuring the vitality and viability
of town centres and combatting social exclusion.
4. Property investment and development is acutely
sensitive to the competitive factors which influence occupiers'
choices of buildings and location, one of the most important of
which is transport provision. Ideally, development will follow
transport infrastructure, and not vice-versa. Consequently, the
property industry has a direct interest in how transport is planned,
funded and managed.
Property and Transport
5. The British Property Federation supports
the objective of developing a sustainable integrated transport
policy: integrated not only between transport modes, but also
with other related policies, as part of a coherent, holistic vision
of land-usage, spatial development and economic activity. A sustainable
transport policy must reconcile the need to protect and preserve
the environment with the drive to create wealth through economic
activity and the social desirability of the opportunities created
by greater individual mobility.
6. For the Federation's members, the crucial
consideration will be whether transport policies ensure the appropriate
transport accessibility necessary to sustain the economic activity
and use of a development. Some areas or industries can only achieve
the appropriate level of access by road, and will face major competitive
difficulties if this is curtailed. The motorway and trunk road
network has developed as the conduits of economic activity. Business
has responded by relocating to peripheral estates, such as Park
Royal on the A40 and Stockley Park on the M4 in order to have
access to the road network. This migration was encouraged by the
prevailing planning policies of the time. Changes in policies
which do not take account of the forces which underpinned the
locational decisions of the time threaten effectively to ossify
certain sectors of the economy as a consequence of their current
situation, and will damage the economy as a whole. Research conducted
by Symonds Travers Morgan for the BPF on business attitudes when
taking locational decisions found that companies were prepared
to find alternative locations or not move at all, even if this
meant foregoing the wider benefits of a move, rather than accept
the lower parking standards which would prevail.
B. TRANSPORT AND
LAND-USE
PLANNING
The Integration of Transport and Land-Use Planning
7. Transport policy cannot be divorced from
land-use policy. The BPF's primary concern is in the relationship
between the two, and their consequential influence on development,
PPG13 (Transport) recognises that "The location and the
nature of . . . development affect the amount and method of travel;
and the pattern of development itself is influenced by transport
infrastructure and transport policies." Changes in transport
policy will have clear implications for land-use at transport
nodes, the degree of preference for brownfield or greenfield sites
for particular developments, and for the prospects for town and
city centres. By the same token, therefore, if land-use policies
are to be changed, the changes must be supported by transport
policies.
8. This essential relationship is already understood
and reflected in existing Planning Policy Guidance. PPG1 (General
Policy and Principles) states that:
"In order to achieve sustainable patterns
of development and to help reduce the environmental impacts of
transport, local authorities should integrate their transport
programmes and land use policies in ways which help to
reduce growth in the length and number
of journeys;
encourage alternative means of travel
which have less environmental impact; and hence
reduce reliance on the private car.
The key objectives for the planning system are
to:
influence the location of different
types of development relative to transport (and vice versa); and
foster forms of development which
encourage walking, cycling and public transport use."
9. These general principles are reflected in
PPG13, which sets out general guidance on integrating transport
and land-use policies, and offers specific guidance on locational
policies for particular developments. Taking retail development
as an example, it stresses the importance of promoting the vitality
and viability of existing centres, and advises that "Shopping
should be promoted in centres which are more likely to offer a
choice of access, particularly for those without the use of a
private car". In practical terms, this means that local
plans should aim to maintain and revitalise existing centres,
promote development in or around existing centres in preference
to out-of-town locations, and promote mixed retail and residential
uses where feasible.
10. This then feeds into the specific guidance
on town centres and retail developments in PPG6, which states
explicitly that "Towns and district centres should be
the preferred locations for developments that attract many trips
and local planning authorities should adopt planning policies
to locate major generators of travel in existing centres, where
access by a choice of means of transport, not only by car, is
easy and convenient; enable town, district and local centres to
meet the needs of residents of their area; [and] safeguard and
strengthen existing local centres . . . ;" These considerations
are reflected in subsequent guidance aimed at ensuring that town
centres can compete with out-of-town retailing in attracting car
shoppers, while encouraging taking one car journey for several
purposes, that traffic management and public transport systems
are more closely integrated to offer alternatives to car travel,
and to provide an appropriate level of car parking to support
this.
11. It would appear from this brief examination
of current planning policy guidance that the principal intention
of land use planning policy in relation to transport is to reduce
the length and overall number of road journeys. We do not dispute
this as a policy; however, we do not believe that it should be
applied universally to all sectors of the economy. There is already
an implicit recognition in the White Paper that certain types
of journey, such as car commuting, are more problematic than others.
Several statements in the White Paper do not sit comfortably with
PPG13. For example, out-of-town shopping centres can reduce congestion
by drawing traffic away from town centres, and by encouraging
linked trips, can reduce the number of journeys made.
12. The planning assumptions of both PPGs 6
and 13 are recognised as resting on the findings of the 1993 Research
Report Reducing Transport Emissions Through Planning. This
report has had a profound impact on planning policy in the UK
since its publication, yet it is remarkable to recall how cautious
the researchers were in placing caveats as to how much could be
read into their findings. For example, in the final chapter, which
sets out priorities for future research, the report says:
"There remain, however, many areas of
uncertainty and the study has had to rely upon data sets which
are somewhat out-of-date and in many respects insufficient to
illuminate key questions on the relationship between land use
and transport emissions."
The findings on density, settlement size and
urban structure and centralisation also make clear the factors
which limit the certainty of the conclusions which can be drawn
from the evidence available. These made the simulations highly
susceptible to changes in assumptions, which could in turn affect
the conclusions. Nevertheless, these conclusions are now asserted
as the accepted wisdom on Transport and Planning Policy, and fundamentally
underpin the policies in Planning Guidance and in the White Paper.
C. TRANSPORT POLICIES
The Objectives of the White Paper
13. The key proposals of the White Paper from
the perspective of the property industry relate to:
Congestion charging; and
Investment in public transport (both
enhancing existing systems and constructing new schemes).
14. The White Paper seems uncertain as to its
ultimate objective, in that,while there is a clear desire to reduce
the number of cars on the road, it is not clear for what reason.
On the one hand, the White Paper argues for traffic reduction
on environmental grounds; however, there are already adequate
mechanisms to reduce the level of pollution through emissions
and noise through improved technologies. On the other hand, it
argues that traffic congestion must be reduced by achieving a
better spread of the total demand for road space and making the
best use of available resources. This begs the question whether
"use" can be equated with " need to use".
15. There is an apparent lack of differentiation
between road users. Consider the different needs of:
Individual vehiclesShould
private use, especially for primarily leisure purposes, have equal
priority for access to the roads as a direct business use or as
a Public Service Vehicle?
Sectors of the economyOffice-based/Retail
shoppers and distributors/Industrial/Leisure/ Residential.
Geographical areasLondon
is densely built and has the most comprehensive and closely integrated
public transport system in the country. Many provincial towns
and cities are not so fortunate. The Committee is also well aware
from the report of its predecessor on the rural economy that cars
assume a vital importance in rural areas.
16. From the point of view of the property industry,
there is a balance to be struck between the transport requirements
of business services and of those who use them. We can see a justifiable
logic to the restriction of road use by private cars in order
to free up the space for appropriate economic uses, such as distribution.
There is also an economic consequence of forcing businesses to
transport their goods by rail or other modes when the most economically
efficient and appropriate method is by road. Equally, it is important
that consumers are able to access the services offered by business,
and hampering accessibility by restricting private car use could
have a deleterious effect on many sectors of the economy.
D. THE WHITE
PAPER PROPOSALS
Local Transport Plans
17. The Federation understands, and with some
initial reservations accepts, the argument for developing integrated
local transport solutions through the Local Transport Plan (LTP).
A fuller understanding of the efficacy of this policy will only
truly emerge through the process of preparing and implementing
the LTPs. In the light of the experience of the production of
local development plans, we are not confident that local authorities
can be expected to produce them with any greater speed or efficiency.
It follows from previous comments that we expect LTPs to be closely
integrated with local development plans. This will mean that national
companies with an interest in and expectation of development will
in future have the extra burden of monitoring the development
of local transport plans across the country as well as local development
plans.
18. Local authorities will have to understand
and reconcile the needs and aspirations of local people, businesses
and transport operators with what is actually achievable. This
renders the scale of participation vitally important to ensure
that account is taken of the views of all sectors of the community.
While we appreciate the importance of local accountability, we
are concerned that there may be a tension between the wider needs
of business and the development of the transport system. On the
local level, this could lead to LTPs representing a layman's view
(or even wish-list) for the transport system, which could manifest
itself as an attachment to what might be a redundant network arrangement,
and lead to the development of proposals to revive it, coupled
with an unwillingness to allow it to develop into new areas which
more properly matched business needs. It may also provide a mechanism
to institutionalise the NIMBYism which is notorious in the transport
sector, and enable local opposition to prevent important strategic
transport needs being met. There have already been several examples
of this, including the Channel Tunnel Rail Link, the Tonbridge
by-pass and through-traffic restraint measures in outer London
boroughs, such as Richmond.
Charges
19. The Federation recognises that the primary
purpose of the proposed new charges on road usage and workplace
car parking is to reduce peak-hour car commuting and the consequential
congestion which arises, and welcomes the Government seeking to
target journeys which are deemed to present particular problems,
rather than imposing a general levy. It will be important to ensure
that the road charging schemes are piloted in all relevant situations.
We are concerned that it will prove easiest to operate the pilot
schemes in towns with cordons, which will lead to difficulties
in applying the conclusions to areas which do not. We believe
that road user charging is preferable to parking charges, since
it targets use and there is greater choice over whether, where
and when to make a journey by car, whereas all cars require the
certainty of at least two parking spaces: the one from which it
starts and the one to which it will travel.
20. The White Paper has not taken full account
of the evolution towards the 24-hour society. Congestion charging
may result in altering the timing of movements, but not necessarily
reduce the absolute number of journeys. If congestion charges
are applied in certain areas at certain times of pressure, this
may add to the pressures towards greater flexibility in working
and shopping hours to enable people to travel outside the charged
times. This will spread the number of journeys over the day, and
is likely to reduce the congestion during the charged periods.
It will of course increase the amount of traffic on the road at
other times, which may in return cause problems for residential
amenity, or for the distribution network, which operates on the
assumption that it can deliver "just in time" by transporting
goods at offpeak periods.
21. Charges will ultimately always be paid by
the customer. The businesses questioned by STM as part of the
research project indicated for the most part that they would simply
absorb in overheads the additional cost of workplace car parking
if this were subject to a tax of up to £1,000. It is only
to be expected that these companies would seek to cover the extra
staff costs in the prices paid by their customers. The charges
are intended to raise the cost of motoring in order to render
alternative modes more price-competitive. Nevertheless, as experience
since the first oil-shock onwards has demonstrated, the public
shows a remarkable ability and willingness to pay in order to
continue to use their cars. The increases in Road Fund Licence
Duty and the fuel price escalator seem to have had little effect
on the desire of the population to own and run cars, as is shown
by the record car sales in 1996 and 1998.
22. The proposal to levy charges on workplace
spaces will, in effect, become a tax on existing owners and occupiers,
and a planning cost for new developments. We recognise that the
intention is for the overall impact of the charges to be revenue-neutral
and transport-beneficial, in that the monies raised should be
re-directed into the provision of new transport scheme. The realisation
of this intention depends absolutely on the detail of the implementation
of individual LTPs, and we look to the Secretary of State to ensure
rigorous scrutiny of the proposals submitted to him so as to avoid
adverse economic effects on local businesses. We are concerned
that larger operators will prove to be better able to adapt to
the demands of producing staff travel plans and the like, at the
expense of smaller and medium-sized enterprises.
23. The introduction of workplace car parking
is fraught with difficulties for owners and occupiers of existing
developments, who will be compelled to address the consequential
problems which will arise in a number of sensitive areas, such
as the absence of alternative transport provision for shift workers,
security and safety, particularly of female staff, and how to
manage and compensate for loss of the perceived benefit of a free
workplace car parking place. Given that private companies will
inevitably encounter these sensitivities, we hope that Government
and public sector employers will take a lead in demonstrating
how these issues can be addressed and resolved.
24. Few UK employers take cycling seriously
as a transport mode at present. However, cycling offers the same
flexibility and independence as the motor car, and may become
increasingly important as a means of travelling to work, especially
if the UK were to follow the example of many other northern European
cities in promoting cycling as vigorously as public transport.
We understand from STM that a study undertaken for an M25 business
park in 1997 showed that more people lived within the 30 minute
cycling isochrone than within the 30 minute public transport isochrone.
In Holland, for example, more people cycle to work than travel
by public transport. Large areas of cities within the UK are as
flat as those in Holland, and the levels of rainfall and temperature
in England are in fact more favourable for cycling.
Hypothecation
25. No one should underestimate the importance
of at long last securing the agreement of the Treasury to the
principle of hypothecation. It is essential to ensure that there
is a transparent relationship between the funds raised and spent.
The establishment of an explicit relationship between the cost
of owning and running a car and the cost of alternative travel
modes is to be welcomed. The car parking and congestion charges
are not simply revenue raising measures, but are primarily mechanisms
aimed to achieve specific and explicit policy goals. For this
reason, the monies raised must be spent in a meaningful way, which
delivers clear improvements to local transport.
26. The BPF believes that the principle of hypothecation
should be extended to national level. If the nation wishes for
improvements in public transport, then it must be prepared to
bear the cost. If hypothecated charges are an acceptable mechanism
to achieve this end at local level, there is no reason why it
should not be at national level.
Public Transport
27. Public transport services must offer a viable,
economic alternative if they are to attract people away from using
their cars as the preferred means of travel.
28. Government must take the lead in providing
the investment for public transport, not least to ensure that
in new developments the provision is adequate and available from
the start. The property industry acknowledges that it is appropriate
for investors and developers to make some contribution towards
ensuring public transport access and provision, but the primary
responsibility for providing the social capital of the nation
must rest with society as a whole through the elected Government.
The funds can be found from hypothecation of national strategic
transport charges, or by raising the priority accorded to transport
expenditure in relation to other areas in Government spending
plans.
29. Ideally, transport infrastructure should
lead development rather than follow it: compare the very different
experiences of the regeneration of London Docklands in the early
1980s prior to the construction of the Docklands Light Railway,
and the North Greenwich peninsula in the late 1990s, responding
to the decision to build the Jubilee Line extension. The services
should be sustainable at a fare level which makes it a realistic
alternative to the car. This may be achieved in part by pricing
mechanisms, such as road-use or parking charges, externalising
environmental costs, and ensuring the public is more conscious
of the overhead cost of running a car. However, public transport
in the UK is now a public service business run on private sector
principles, and so will expect to cover its costs one way or another.
Even if the capital costs of development or refurbishment are
borne from public subsidy in whatever form, fares cannot necessarily
be assumed to cover the operating costs. It is self-defeating
to operate a public transport system at prohibitive fare levels,
so Government will have to overcome its historic reluctance to
subsidise revenue costs.
30. It is also worth bearing in mind that public
transport can become the victim of its own success if more people
use the system than can be comfortably accommodated. In these
circumstances, the usual response is to seek to price users off
the system, as happens on some heavily used rail commuter lines.
The principal alternative for most people is likely to be the
car.
31. The greatest difficulty in encouraging greater
use of public transport will be in designing it to accommodate
the needs of passengers. To attract someone from their car onto
public transport means persuading them to give up a perceived
level of comfort and convenience. Public transport inevitably
runs on fixed routes, which thereby limits the overall catchment
area. This will be further restricted by limited integration of
modes. STM found several factors mentioned in defining what was
"good" public transport accessibility: a limited walking
distance; limited requirement for interchange; high frequency;
good quality of service; wide area coverage; and above all, reliability.
One or two bad experiences rapidly disillusions the new public
transport user, who soon reverts to the car. Furthermore, public
transport services will need to respond to longer opening hours,
so that it provides the option at the time when people wish to
travel.
Developers' Contributions to Transport Infrastructure
32. There is an argument that providing transport
services and infrastructure through planning gain actually upsets
the local transport equilibrium, since they are obtained because
the opportunity to do so presents itself rather than as part of
an overall planned system.
33. When the property industry is asked to contribute
to improve public transport provision, it is in effect being required
to make good a shortcoming over which it had no control and no
ability to prevent arising. We question the fairness of this approach.
First, it places the entire burden on the present-day investor,
although future generations will reap the benefits of the investment,
and the benefits of the transport provided is enjoyed by the wider
community, not simply the customers of the investor. Secondly,
the property industry is required to pay standard business taxes
(corporation tax, capital gains tax, stamp duty, VAT) in the same
way as any other industry; but other industries are not expected
to make this form of contribution. It therefore has the impact
of an additional (and arguably extra-parliamentary) tax on the
industry. If the property industry is increasingly expected to
make contributions in this form, it will expect a greater say
in how the funds are spent.
34. The property industry is already heavily
taxed, and yet is the focus of proposals for new direct sectoral
taxation, such as a greenfield development tax or impact taxes,
as well as these other contributions which are not formally taxes,
but which have an identical impact on a property business. We
are concerned that these levies are being contemplated without
any thought being given to the overall burden of taxation and
obligation on the property industry, and the consequent effects
on its viability. While the industry may be able to absorb these
extra costs in the upswing of the property cycle, they will inevitably
deepen the troughs of any downturn. We acknowledge that some of
these new proposals are being considered as economic instruments,
intended to achieve a specific policy goal. It is incumbent upon
those proposing such instruments to demonstrate that they will
achieve the desired objective, and that they are broadly revenue
neutral in their overall impact. We are also concerned that the
debate on economic instruments has so far tended to focus on penalties
rather than incentives.
E. TRANSPORT AND
BROADER GOVERNMENT
POLICY
The Impact of Transport Policy on Broader Government
Policies
35. The Federation remains concerned that there
has been insufficient thought given to the consequences for other
Government policies of the impacts arising from the proposals
in the White Paper. These include:
the impact of transport constraints
on business competitiveness;
the consequences for investment in
regeneration of potentially restricting accessibility or requiring
greater contributions to transport infrastructure from developers;
the inconsistency between promoting
town centres, while making it more difficult to drive or park
in them and not necessarily guaranteeing the provision of attractive,
high quality public transport.
London
36. Above all, London's position and attractiveness
as a World City must not be compromised. London's economy rests
on the effectiveness of its public transport system, and it is
vital that London Transport receives the level of investment and
support to meet the demands made upon it. A clear appreciation
of the strategic transport needs of the Greater London conurbation
will help to sustain the capital as a centre for investment and
business. The Cross-Rail project has been delayed for too long,
and the completion of the Heathrow-Paddington Expressway now illustrates
all the more forcefully the need for a East-West through-link.
Failing to build it will suggest to foreign investors a reluctance
to invest in our own future. Equally, investors may be deterred
by transport restrictions which do not exist elsewhere, or by
requirements to contribute to unrelated infrastructure costs.
The Importance of Nodality
37. If the intention of the integrated transport
policy is to discourage and restrict the use of the private car
in favour of public transport, public transport nodes will develop
an increasing economic importance. Planning policies will need
to adapt to these consequences to allow more efficient use of
the land around nodal points. For example, outer London suburban
rail stations are not usually central to the areas they serve,
and so are generally considered unattractive as commercial sites.
This may change if planning permission becomes more difficult
to obtain elsewhere. Nevertheless, it is pointless promoting the
importance of developing transport nodes if commercial development
is effectively hampered by development plan policies. It will
be necessary to raise development densities in these areas to
achieve greater concentration of development, which may in turn
have implications for related policies, such as conservation areas,
residential amenity, parking standards and technical development
control.
38. Certain locations, such as major town centres
or out-of-town retail centres, have, and will retain, such a gravity
of attraction to shoppers, that the demand to shop there will
not be reduced by the increasing the cost of shopping there through
parking or congestion charges. Shoppers will not divert to nearer,
but inferior centres merely because it is more expensive to continue
to shop in the larger centres. Indeed, it is possible that the
demand for the larger centres will actually increase at the expense
of the business of other less attractive centres, since shoppers
will reason that if they must pay extra to travel by car to shop
at all, then it is more worth their while to travel to the biggest,
most attractive shopping centre within reach, rather than to the
nearest which may not have the same facilities.
Nodality and The Impact of Workplace Parking Charges
39. Local authorities which are not well served
by public transport, and do not offer the same level of nodality
as their neighbours will find themselves at a disadvantage in
competing to attract new business and investment. STM found that
some London local authorities were concerned that the Government
Office for London's insistence on compliance with the very restrictive
parking levels set in RPG3 would damage the economic viability
of their area. Restricting private non-residential car parking
in areas without good public transport accessibility will lead
to increased on-street parking, and the consequence of the borough's
action to deal with that will lead to business occupiers locating
in neighbouring boroughs where parking may be as restricted, but
public transport accessibility is better. Occupiers of buildings
where access is difficult, will undoubtedly find themselves under
pressure as a result of the constraints and the additional pressure
over time.
40. If development is increasingly restricted
to nodal points, the competing authorities will divide into those
which have nodality and those which have not. This will have consequences
for future investment in the area which the non-nodal authorities
are unlikely to accept as unavoidable. The Government will undoubtedly
be called upon to mitigate the effects. If business and industry
does tend to locate in the more nodal boroughs, this will increase
the need for the populations of non-nodal boroughs to travel for
all purposes. A form of social exclusion could be effectively
created as a consequence of transport policies.
41. No doubt we can expect in due course to
see local authorities setting the level of the workplace parking
levy in order to compete with their neighbours, and businesses'
locational decisions being increasingly influenced by the cost
and availability of car parking facilities. Planning Guidance
must establish a clear link between low car parking ratios and
good public transport accessibility. According to the STM research,
48 per cent of local authorities responding to the survey were
in the process of reviewing their parking standard, and all those
who were able to give a view expected the standard to tighten.
Only 46 per cent of those expecting to tighten their standards
had carried out a public transport accessibility study, or expected
to.
F. CONCLUSION
The Mobility of Investment
42. As with any investing industry, the property
industry requires a level of return on its investment. While the
profitability of the industry will depend on the overall property
cycle, the industry operates on a low-risk, low-return basis.
The London Economics study found that the commercial property
industry does not make super-profits. On average, property has
a lower return on capital employed than industry as a whole or
when compared with other industries. Property's average rate of
return on capital between 1986 and 1995 was 10 per cent, compared
with 21 per cent for retailers, 24 per cent for the electricity
industry and 40 per cent for pharmaceuticals. When extra demands
are placed on the industry, whether in terms of section 106 agreements,
planning obligation contributions towards public transport provision,
commuted car park contributions or impact taxes, they will affect
the economic viability of a development, and may ultimately result
in the scheme being abandoned, or undertaken elsewhere.
43. Property investment is increasingly a global
marketplace, as the investment and property communities seek to
respond to the demands of national and international business
requirements. Provincial cities in the UK are competing with other
cities across Europe for investment, which can be made as easily
in Dusseldorf as in Don Valley. The investing institutions will
commit their funds on their own terms, and no one else's, and
there should be no doubt that if the risk of investing in the
UK increases, or the attractiveness of any location or centre
is reduced, as a result of any given factor, transport or otherwise,
the investment will go elsewhere.
BPF
September 1998
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