United Kingdom Parliament
Publications & records
Advanced search
 HansardArchivesResearchHOC PublicationsHOL PublicationsCommittees
Select Committee on Social Security Second Report


APPENDIX 7

Wisconsin's Welfare Miracle

Statistics packet prepared by Christine Olson and Robert Rector, The Heritage Foundation

  The dramatic reduction in welfare dependence achieved by Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson is the most significant event in the sixty-year history of the Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) program.

  Since he became governor more than ten years ago, Tommy Thompson has reduced Wisconsin's AFDC caseload by over 58 per cent. Over the same period in the rest of the nation, the AFDC caseload actually grew by 4.5 per cent.

  The decline in welfare dependence in Wisconsin is unprecedented: In inner city Milwaukee, the number of AFDC cases has dropped 38 per cent. In the rest of the state, the decline has been over 76 per cent.

  AFDC dependence has been virtually eliminated throughout much of the state: In 47 of Wisconsin's 78 counties, the caseload has dropped by 80 per cent or more.[39]

  Prior to the Wisconsin success story, skeptics argued that after the most employable recipients were weaned off the welfare rolls in the first stages of reform, the decline in dependence would slow and eventually halt. But, remarkably, as more sophisticated reforms have been implemented, the decline in the welfare caseload has actually accelerated. Currently the AFDC caseload is falling by two per cent per month in Milwaukee and four per cent per month in the rest of the state.

  In recent years, other states have begun to reduce their AFDC caseloads. Over the last 12 months, Wyoming has cut its AFDC caseload by 52 per cent; Tennessee by 28 per cent; and Oregon by 28 per cent. But in most instances these successes represent merely a pruning back of the rapid upsurge in AFDC caseloads which occurred in the early 1990's.

  Most states implementing reforms are only now engaging in the early stages of dependency reduction which Wisconsin completed in the late 1980's. Despite the fact that it has already cut its AFDC caseload in half, Wisconsin continues to reduce dependence at a rate surpassing all but a handful of other states.

  Wisconsin has successfully reduced AFDC dependence by: 1) requiring AFDC recipients to quickly obtain a private sector job or to perform community service work if a private sector job is not available; 2) reducing unnecessary new enrolments in AFDC; 3) making AFDC beneficiaries earn their welfare checks through a "pay after performance" rule; and 4) creating incentives for the welfare bureaucracy to reduce welfare caseloads.

December 1997

AFDC Families: Wisconsin vs. The Nation

Wisconsin Reduction of AFDC Caseload

Wisconsin's Reforms and Caseload decline January 1992 - January 1997

Wisconsin AFDC and Related Costs (in millions of current dollars)
Programs19861995
AFDC Benefits592.6384.4
AFDC Administration17.2 85.6
Emergency Aid1.63.3
Jobs  27.8
Daycare   
  IVA and TTC  15.2
  At-Risk 5.7
  Child Care Block Grant  14
Total611.4536

Source: Ways and Means, Green Book.

AFDC Caseloads: Change in Number of Families in 50 States and D.C. (Rank By Change in Caseload
6 Months
12 Months
October 1996 - April 1997
April 1996 - April 1997
Rank   Per cent   Per cent
1Wyoming-42.4 Wyoming-51.8
2South Carolina-24.3 Wisconsin-31.9
3Tennessee-23.2 Tennessee-28.1
4Louisiana-16.2 Oregon-28.0
5Wisconsin-15.7 South Carolina-27.8
6New Mexico-14.5 Florida-24.8
7Oklahoma-14.1 Montana-24.4
8Alabama-13.2 Nevada-23.4
9Florida-13.1 Oklahoma-22.0
10Nevada-12.0 Louisiana-21.5
11Utah-11.6 Kansas-19.4
12Arizona-11.5 Mississippi-18.8
13Mississippi-11.2 Virginia-18.7
14Indiana-10.9 New Mexico-18.3
15Oregan-10.7 Utah-18.2
16Kansas-10.2 Alabama-16.9
17Virginia-10.2 Georgia-16.8
18Michigan-10.0 Michigan-16.5
19West Virginia-9.9 Idaho-16.3
20Montana-9.8 Colorado-15.6
21Georgia-9.5 South Dakota-15.5
22Texas-9.5 Indiana-15.5
23Delaware-8.9 North Dakota-15.4
24Missouri-8.6 Texas-15.2
25Colorado-8.2 New Hampshire-15.1
26Illinois-8.1 Arizona-14.3
27North Dakota-8.0 Pennsylvania-13.8
28North Carolina-7.6 Illinois-13.7
29Pennsylvania-7.5 Missouri-13.6
30New York-6.5 North Carolina-12.9
31Massachusetts-6.3 Massachusetts-12.5
32South Dakota-6.3 New York-11.6
33Idaho-6.3 Iowa-11.4
34Ohio-6.1 New Jersey-10.6
35Kentucky-6.1 Maine-9.5
36New Jersey-5.5 Kentucky-9.5
37New Hampshire-5.3 Vermont-9.1
38California-4.5 California-9.0
39Minnesota-4.5 Delaware-8.9
40Dist. of Col.-4.4 Ohio-8.0
41Maine-3.9 Minnesota-7.8
42Rhode Island-3.9 Arkansas-7.7
43Iowa-3.5 Maryland-7.6
44Arkansas-3.5 Rhode Island-7.1
45Vermont-2.8 Dist. of Col.-7.0
46Nebraska-2.0 West Virginia-6.6
47Connecticut-1.9 Washington-6.3
48Washington-1.8 Nebraska-5.5
49Maryland4.2 Connecticut-3.7
50Alaska6.3 Alaska-1.9
51Hawaii6.7 Hawaii5.8
US-7.8 US-13.5

Source: Department of Health and Human Services.

AFDC Caseloads: Change in Number of Families in 50 States and D.C. (Rank By Change in Caseload)
24 Months
36 Months
April 1995 - April 1997
April 1994 - April 1997
Rank   Per cent   Per cent
1Wyoming-54.7 Wyoming-59.7
2Wisconsin-43.7 Wisconsin-47.1
3Oregon-38.3 Oregan-42.8
4Tennessee-34.8 Indiana-40.4
5Indiana-34.2 Tennessee-39.9
6Oklahoma-33.5 Oklahoma-36.9
7South Carolina-32.8 South Carolina-36.7
8Louisiana-30.8 Louisiana-36.5
9Montana-28.5 Michigan-34.1
10Maryland-28.2 Kansas-33.0
11Nevada-28.1 Massachusetts-32.8
12Kansas-27.3 Mississippi-32.5
13Utah-27.1 Utah-31.6
14Mississippi-27.0 Montana-31.4
15Virginia-26.9 Alabama-30.6
16Michigan-26.2 Florida-30.3
17Florida-25.0 New Hampshire-30.3
18New Hampshire-24.9 Virgina-29.8
19Massachusetts-24.8 North Dakota-29.2
20Alabama-23.4 Iowa-28.2
21Arizona-22.3 Maryland-28.2
22Georgia-21.6 South Dakota-27.1
23Colorado-21.6 Colorado-26.9
24North Carolina-21.0 Ohio-24.8
25Iowa-20.0 Arizona-24.6
26Texas-20.0 North Carolina-24.3
27Missouri-19.4 Texas-24.0
28North Dakota-19.3 Georgia-23.4
29New Mexico-19.2 Missouri-23.3
30Pennsylvania-18.8 Pennsylvania-22.3
31South Dakota-18.6 Nevada-22.0
32Illinois-17.7 Delaware-20.6
33Idaho-16.1 Maine-19.8
34Ohio-16.1 Illinois-19.6
35New York16.1 Arkansas19.2
36New Jersey-15.4 Kentucky-18.9
37Maine-14.5 New Jersey-18.5
38Vermont-14.1 New Mexico-18.1
39Kentucky-13.5 West Virginia-18.0
40Arkansas-13.1 Nebraska-16.5
41Rhode Island-12.0 Vermont-16.1
42California-11.5 New York-16.1
43West Virginia-11.4 Minnesota-16.0
44Delaware-11.0 Rhode Island-14.9
45Dist. of Col.-9.7 Idaho-13.0
46Nebraska-9.7 Dist. of Col.-12.2
47Connecticut-9.1 California-10.6
48Washington-8.7 Washington-9.5
49Minnesota-5.6 Connecticut-6.7
50Alaska-2.4 Alaska-4.5
51Hawaii-7.0 Hawaii-13.9
U.S.-19.1 U.S.-22.3

Source: Department of Health and Human Services.


AFDC Caseloads: change in number of families, January 1987 through April 1997
By change in caseload


Rank
  

January 1987


April 1997
Change in caseload

Per cent

1Wisconsin98,295 40,865-58.4
2Wyoming4,640 2,360-49.1
3Louisiana85,047 55,048-35.3
4Mississippi57,082 38,799-32.0
5Michigan214,273 149,263-30.3
6South Carolina45,640 32,868-28.0
7Alabama47,817 35,051-26.7
8Iowa39,697 29,240-26.3
9South Dakota6,620 5,153-22.2
10Oregon30,368 24,566-19.1
11Illinois240,764 195,103-19.0
12Kansas25,256 20,469-19.0
13Nebraska16,246 13,420-17.4
14Indiana53,156 43,946-17.3
15Ohio227,035 189,160-16.7
16North Dakota5,069 4,230-16.6
17New Jersey117,694 100,100-14.9
18Massachusetts87,195 75,393-13.5
19Pennsylvania187,946 164,479-12.5
20Maryland66,248 58,377-11.9
21Utah13,720 12,110-11.7
22Montana9,410 8,391-10.8
23Oklahoma32,653 29,888-8.5
24West Virginia36,485 33,794-7.4
25Arkansas22,797 21,140-7.3
26Virginia56,751 53,344-6.0
27Maine19,329 18,827-2.6
28Colorado31,079 30,370-2.3
29Minnesota54,699 53,661-1.9
30Tennessee65,296 66,8752.4
31Missouri67,690 71,2995.3
32New York358,083 384,3307.3
33Vermont7,678 8,3618.9
34Kentucky59,579 64,9979.1
35Delaware7,810 9,37920.1
36Dist. of Col.19,988 24,09920.6
37Rhode Island15,843 19,50523.1
38Georgia87,329 108,44424.2
39Washington75,697 94,15824.4
40Idaho6,215 7,87226.7
41Texas153,934 214,68039.5
42California585,321 822,24440.5
43Connecticut38,919 55,74543.2
44North Carolina67,360 99,56047.8
45New Mexico18,207 27,71352.2
46Hawaii14,498 23,26660.5
47Florida102,013 171,11567.7
48Alaska7,163 12,75778.1
49Arizona29,114 53,64884.3
50New Hampshire4,329 8,24090.3
51Nevada5,575 11,265102.1
U.S. TOTAL3,730,652 3,898,9674.5




39   The county-by-county breakdown is not printed here. Back


 
previous page contents next page

House of Commons home page Parliament home page House of Lords home page search page enquiries

© Parliamentary copyright 1998
Prepared 18 February 1998