APPENDIX 7
Wisconsin's Welfare Miracle
Statistics packet prepared by Christine Olson and Robert
Rector, The Heritage Foundation
The dramatic reduction in welfare dependence achieved by
Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson is the most significant event
in the sixty-year history of the Aid to Families with Dependent
Children (AFDC) program.
Since he became governor more than ten years ago, Tommy Thompson
has reduced Wisconsin's AFDC caseload by over 58 per cent. Over
the same period in the rest of the nation, the AFDC caseload actually
grew by 4.5 per cent.
The decline in welfare dependence in Wisconsin is unprecedented:
In inner city Milwaukee, the number of AFDC cases has dropped
38 per cent. In the rest of the state, the decline has been over
76 per cent.
AFDC dependence has been virtually eliminated throughout
much of the state: In 47 of Wisconsin's 78 counties, the caseload
has dropped by 80 per cent or more.[39]
Prior to the Wisconsin success story, skeptics argued that
after the most employable recipients were weaned off the welfare
rolls in the first stages of reform, the decline in dependence
would slow and eventually halt. But, remarkably, as more sophisticated
reforms have been implemented, the decline in the welfare caseload
has actually accelerated. Currently the AFDC caseload is falling
by two per cent per month in Milwaukee and four per cent per month
in the rest of the state.
In recent years, other states have begun to reduce their
AFDC caseloads. Over the last 12 months, Wyoming has cut its AFDC
caseload by 52 per cent; Tennessee by 28 per cent; and Oregon
by 28 per cent. But in most instances these successes represent
merely a pruning back of the rapid upsurge in AFDC caseloads which
occurred in the early 1990's.
Most states implementing reforms are only now engaging in
the early stages of dependency reduction which Wisconsin completed
in the late 1980's. Despite the fact that it has already cut its
AFDC caseload in half, Wisconsin continues to reduce dependence
at a rate surpassing all but a handful of other states.
Wisconsin has successfully reduced AFDC dependence by: 1)
requiring AFDC recipients to quickly obtain a private sector job
or to perform community service work if a private sector job is
not available; 2) reducing unnecessary new enrolments in AFDC;
3) making AFDC beneficiaries earn their welfare checks through
a "pay after performance" rule; and 4) creating incentives
for the welfare bureaucracy to reduce welfare caseloads.
December 1997
AFDC Families: Wisconsin vs. The Nation
Wisconsin Reduction of AFDC Caseload
Wisconsin's Reforms and Caseload decline January 1992 - January 1997
Wisconsin AFDC and Related Costs (in millions of current dollars)
| Programs | 1986 | 1995
|
| AFDC Benefits | 592.6 | 384.4
|
| AFDC Administration | 17.2 |
85.6 |
| Emergency Aid | 1.6 | 3.3
|
| Jobs | | 27.8
|
| Daycare | |
|
| IVA and TTC | | 15.2
|
| At-Risk | | 5.7
|
| Child Care Block Grant |
| 14 |
| Total | 611.4 | 536
|
Source: Ways and Means, Green Book.
AFDC Caseloads: Change in Number of Families in 50
States and D.C. (Rank By Change in Caseload
| 6 Months
| 12 Months
|
| October 1996 - April 1997
| April 1996 - April 1997
|
| Rank | | Per cent
| | Per cent |
| 1 | Wyoming | -42.4
| Wyoming | -51.8 |
| 2 | South Carolina | -24.3
| Wisconsin | -31.9 |
| 3 | Tennessee | -23.2
| Tennessee | -28.1 |
| 4 | Louisiana | -16.2
| Oregon | -28.0 |
| 5 | Wisconsin | -15.7
| South Carolina | -27.8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | -14.5
| Florida | -24.8 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | -14.1
| Montana | -24.4 |
| 8 | Alabama | -13.2
| Nevada | -23.4 |
| 9 | Florida | -13.1
| Oklahoma | -22.0 |
| 10 | Nevada | -12.0
| Louisiana | -21.5 |
| 11 | Utah | -11.6
| Kansas | -19.4 |
| 12 | Arizona | -11.5
| Mississippi | -18.8 |
| 13 | Mississippi | -11.2
| Virginia | -18.7 |
| 14 | Indiana | -10.9
| New Mexico | -18.3 |
| 15 | Oregan | -10.7
| Utah | -18.2 |
| 16 | Kansas | -10.2
| Alabama | -16.9 |
| 17 | Virginia | -10.2
| Georgia | -16.8 |
| 18 | Michigan | -10.0
| Michigan | -16.5 |
| 19 | West Virginia | -9.9
| Idaho | -16.3 |
| 20 | Montana | -9.8
| Colorado | -15.6 |
| 21 | Georgia | -9.5
| South Dakota | -15.5 |
| 22 | Texas | -9.5
| Indiana | -15.5 |
| 23 | Delaware | -8.9
| North Dakota | -15.4 |
| 24 | Missouri | -8.6
| Texas | -15.2 |
| 25 | Colorado | -8.2
| New Hampshire | -15.1 |
| 26 | Illinois | -8.1
| Arizona | -14.3 |
| 27 | North Dakota | -8.0
| Pennsylvania | -13.8 |
| 28 | North Carolina | -7.6
| Illinois | -13.7 |
| 29 | Pennsylvania | -7.5
| Missouri | -13.6 |
| 30 | New York | -6.5
| North Carolina | -12.9 |
| 31 | Massachusetts | -6.3
| Massachusetts | -12.5 |
| 32 | South Dakota | -6.3
| New York | -11.6 |
| 33 | Idaho | -6.3
| Iowa | -11.4 |
| 34 | Ohio | -6.1
| New Jersey | -10.6 |
| 35 | Kentucky | -6.1
| Maine | -9.5 |
| 36 | New Jersey | -5.5
| Kentucky | -9.5 |
| 37 | New Hampshire | -5.3
| Vermont | -9.1 |
| 38 | California | -4.5
| California | -9.0 |
| 39 | Minnesota | -4.5
| Delaware | -8.9 |
| 40 | Dist. of Col. | -4.4
| Ohio | -8.0 |
| 41 | Maine | -3.9
| Minnesota | -7.8 |
| 42 | Rhode Island | -3.9
| Arkansas | -7.7 |
| 43 | Iowa | -3.5
| Maryland | -7.6 |
| 44 | Arkansas | -3.5
| Rhode Island | -7.1 |
| 45 | Vermont | -2.8
| Dist. of Col. | -7.0 |
| 46 | Nebraska | -2.0
| West Virginia | -6.6 |
| 47 | Connecticut | -1.9
| Washington | -6.3 |
| 48 | Washington | -1.8
| Nebraska | -5.5 |
| 49 | Maryland | 4.2
| Connecticut | -3.7 |
| 50 | Alaska | 6.3
| Alaska | -1.9 |
| 51 | Hawaii | 6.7
| Hawaii | 5.8 |
| US | -7.8 |
US | -13.5 |
Source: Department of Health and Human Services.
AFDC Caseloads: Change in Number of Families in 50
States and D.C. (Rank By Change in Caseload)
| 24 Months
| 36 Months
|
| April 1995 - April 1997
| April 1994 - April 1997
|
| Rank | | Per cent
| | Per cent |
| 1 | Wyoming | -54.7
| Wyoming | -59.7 |
| 2 | Wisconsin | -43.7
| Wisconsin | -47.1 |
| 3 | Oregon | -38.3
| Oregan | -42.8 |
| 4 | Tennessee | -34.8
| Indiana | -40.4 |
| 5 | Indiana | -34.2
| Tennessee | -39.9 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | -33.5
| Oklahoma | -36.9 |
| 7 | South Carolina | -32.8
| South Carolina | -36.7 |
| 8 | Louisiana | -30.8
| Louisiana | -36.5 |
| 9 | Montana | -28.5
| Michigan | -34.1 |
| 10 | Maryland | -28.2
| Kansas | -33.0 |
| 11 | Nevada | -28.1
| Massachusetts | -32.8 |
| 12 | Kansas | -27.3
| Mississippi | -32.5 |
| 13 | Utah | -27.1
| Utah | -31.6 |
| 14 | Mississippi | -27.0
| Montana | -31.4 |
| 15 | Virginia | -26.9
| Alabama | -30.6 |
| 16 | Michigan | -26.2
| Florida | -30.3 |
| 17 | Florida | -25.0
| New Hampshire | -30.3 |
| 18 | New Hampshire | -24.9
| Virgina | -29.8 |
| 19 | Massachusetts | -24.8
| North Dakota | -29.2 |
| 20 | Alabama | -23.4
| Iowa | -28.2 |
| 21 | Arizona | -22.3
| Maryland | -28.2 |
| 22 | Georgia | -21.6
| South Dakota | -27.1 |
| 23 | Colorado | -21.6
| Colorado | -26.9 |
| 24 | North Carolina | -21.0
| Ohio | -24.8 |
| 25 | Iowa | -20.0
| Arizona | -24.6 |
| 26 | Texas | -20.0
| North Carolina | -24.3 |
| 27 | Missouri | -19.4
| Texas | -24.0 |
| 28 | North Dakota | -19.3
| Georgia | -23.4 |
| 29 | New Mexico | -19.2
| Missouri | -23.3 |
| 30 | Pennsylvania | -18.8
| Pennsylvania | -22.3 |
| 31 | South Dakota | -18.6
| Nevada | -22.0 |
| 32 | Illinois | -17.7
| Delaware | -20.6 |
| 33 | Idaho | -16.1
| Maine | -19.8 |
| 34 | Ohio | -16.1
| Illinois | -19.6 |
| 35 | New York | 16.1
| Arkansas | 19.2 |
| 36 | New Jersey | -15.4
| Kentucky | -18.9 |
| 37 | Maine | -14.5
| New Jersey | -18.5 |
| 38 | Vermont | -14.1
| New Mexico | -18.1 |
| 39 | Kentucky | -13.5
| West Virginia | -18.0 |
| 40 | Arkansas | -13.1
| Nebraska | -16.5 |
| 41 | Rhode Island | -12.0
| Vermont | -16.1 |
| 42 | California | -11.5
| New York | -16.1 |
| 43 | West Virginia | -11.4
| Minnesota | -16.0 |
| 44 | Delaware | -11.0
| Rhode Island | -14.9 |
| 45 | Dist. of Col. | -9.7
| Idaho | -13.0 |
| 46 | Nebraska | -9.7
| Dist. of Col. | -12.2 |
| 47 | Connecticut | -9.1
| California | -10.6 |
| 48 | Washington | -8.7
| Washington | -9.5 |
| 49 | Minnesota | -5.6
| Connecticut | -6.7 |
| 50 | Alaska | -2.4
| Alaska | -4.5 |
| 51 | Hawaii | -7.0
| Hawaii | -13.9 |
| U.S. | -19.1
| U.S. | -22.3 |
| | |
| |
Source: Department of Health and Human Services.
AFDC Caseloads: change in number of families, January
1987 through April 1997
| By change in caseload
|
Rank | |
January 1987
|
April 1997 | Change in caseload
Per cent
|
| 1 | Wisconsin | 98,295
| 40,865 | -58.4 |
| 2 | Wyoming | 4,640
| 2,360 | -49.1 |
| 3 | Louisiana | 85,047
| 55,048 | -35.3 |
| 4 | Mississippi | 57,082
| 38,799 | -32.0 |
| 5 | Michigan | 214,273
| 149,263 | -30.3 |
| 6 | South Carolina | 45,640
| 32,868 | -28.0 |
| 7 | Alabama | 47,817
| 35,051 | -26.7 |
| 8 | Iowa | 39,697
| 29,240 | -26.3 |
| 9 | South Dakota | 6,620
| 5,153 | -22.2 |
| 10 | Oregon | 30,368
| 24,566 | -19.1 |
| 11 | Illinois | 240,764
| 195,103 | -19.0 |
| 12 | Kansas | 25,256
| 20,469 | -19.0 |
| 13 | Nebraska | 16,246
| 13,420 | -17.4 |
| 14 | Indiana | 53,156
| 43,946 | -17.3 |
| 15 | Ohio | 227,035
| 189,160 | -16.7 |
| 16 | North Dakota | 5,069
| 4,230 | -16.6 |
| 17 | New Jersey | 117,694
| 100,100 | -14.9 |
| 18 | Massachusetts | 87,195
| 75,393 | -13.5 |
| 19 | Pennsylvania | 187,946
| 164,479 | -12.5 |
| 20 | Maryland | 66,248
| 58,377 | -11.9 |
| 21 | Utah | 13,720
| 12,110 | -11.7 |
| 22 | Montana | 9,410
| 8,391 | -10.8 |
| 23 | Oklahoma | 32,653
| 29,888 | -8.5 |
| 24 | West Virginia | 36,485
| 33,794 | -7.4 |
| 25 | Arkansas | 22,797
| 21,140 | -7.3 |
| 26 | Virginia | 56,751
| 53,344 | -6.0 |
| 27 | Maine | 19,329
| 18,827 | -2.6 |
| 28 | Colorado | 31,079
| 30,370 | -2.3 |
| 29 | Minnesota | 54,699
| 53,661 | -1.9 |
| 30 | Tennessee | 65,296
| 66,875 | 2.4 |
| 31 | Missouri | 67,690
| 71,299 | 5.3 |
| 32 | New York | 358,083
| 384,330 | 7.3 |
| 33 | Vermont | 7,678
| 8,361 | 8.9 |
| 34 | Kentucky | 59,579
| 64,997 | 9.1 |
| 35 | Delaware | 7,810
| 9,379 | 20.1 |
| 36 | Dist. of Col. | 19,988
| 24,099 | 20.6 |
| 37 | Rhode Island | 15,843
| 19,505 | 23.1 |
| 38 | Georgia | 87,329
| 108,444 | 24.2 |
| 39 | Washington | 75,697
| 94,158 | 24.4 |
| 40 | Idaho | 6,215
| 7,872 | 26.7 |
| 41 | Texas | 153,934
| 214,680 | 39.5 |
| 42 | California | 585,321
| 822,244 | 40.5 |
| 43 | Connecticut | 38,919
| 55,745 | 43.2 |
| 44 | North Carolina | 67,360
| 99,560 | 47.8 |
| 45 | New Mexico | 18,207
| 27,713 | 52.2 |
| 46 | Hawaii | 14,498
| 23,266 | 60.5 |
| 47 | Florida | 102,013
| 171,115 | 67.7 |
| 48 | Alaska | 7,163
| 12,757 | 78.1 |
| 49 | Arizona | 29,114
| 53,648 | 84.3 |
| 50 | New Hampshire | 4,329
| 8,240 | 90.3 |
| 51 | Nevada | 5,575
| 11,265 | 102.1 |
| U.S. TOTAL | 3,730,652
| 3,898,967 | 4.5 |
39 The county-by-county breakdown is not printed here. Back
|